Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T11:05:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
EE 0xeecd…d892 crypto 146 markets active 2h ago coverage 3d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (219 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 3d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$387 (+5%) realized +$387 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +7% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -17% what you keep after slip
Net edge-17%after slip
Net WR43%break-even
Win rate45%66W / 80L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$51per market
Trades / day219.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 3d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$74
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (219 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-2.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 146 +7.4% -2.8% 45% 43% -10.5%
≤30d 146 +7.4% -2.8% 45% 43% -10.5%
≤90d 146 +7.4% -2.8% 45% 43% -10.5%
all 146 +7.4% -2.8% 45% 43% -10.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover219.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -2.8% 43% -10.5%
10% ← realistic here -12.1% 40% -19.1%
15% -20.6% 38% -26.9%
20% -28.4% 34% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 8% · top 2 15% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
3% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +7% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +19% → late -4% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$49 vs −$41 · ×1.19 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.98 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

3d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$387
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses66 / 80
Open positions0
Markets (closed)146 / 146
History coverage3d
Avg bet$51
Trades / day219.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 146 Trades
no open positions (58 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 20 $89 −$89 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 20 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 20 $105 −$100 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 20 $13 −$12 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 20 $17 −$17 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 20 $26 −$25 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 20 $105 +$77 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 20 $83 +$10 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 20 $10 −$9 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 20 $29 −$28 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 20 $37 −$35 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 20 $62 −$62 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 20 $28 +$77 +270%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 20 $80 +$65 +82%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 20 $38 +$38 +98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 20 $15 +$23 +160%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 20 $42 −$10 -24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 20 $9 −$9 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 20 $27 −$1 -4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 20 $7 −$7 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 20 $37 +$62 +170%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 20 $136 +$119 +88%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 20 $25 +$41 +166%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 20 $36 −$26 -73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 20 $119 +$83 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 20 $135 −$30 -22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 20 $41 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 20 $207 −$200 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 20 $53 +$19 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 20 $105 +$11 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 20 $30 +$10 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 20 $157 +$89 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 20 $20 −$19 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 20 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 20 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 20 $11 −$11 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 20 $20 +$12 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 20 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 20 $63 +$26 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 20 $104 −$100 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 20 $15 +$23 +157%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 20 $36 +$39 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 20 $52 +$24 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 20 $52 +$11 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 20 $21 −$6 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 20 $176 +$59 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 20 $43 −$41 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 19 $134 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 19 $19 −$17 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 19 $10 −$10 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $89 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $105 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $13 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $17 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $26 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $6 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $12 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $4 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $40 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $10 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $30 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $4 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $0 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $19 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $22 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $22 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $105 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $16 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET SELL Down 66¢ $16 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET SELL Down 66¢ $8 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET SELL Down 66¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET SELL Down 66¢ $20 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET SELL Down 66¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET SELL Down 66¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 650 history records