trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 50% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 10 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 10% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 28 | -1.5% | -10.8% | 4% | 0% | -10.2% |
| all | 28 | -1.5% | -10.8% | 4% | 0% | -10.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.8% | 0% | -10.2% |
| 10% | -19.4% | 0% | -18.8% |
| 15% | -27.2% | 0% | -26.6% |
| 20% | -34.3% | 0% | -33.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 25? | Yes | 100¢ | 99¢ | $43 | $43 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 24? | Jun 24 | $41 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 19 | $806 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 17 | $1,797 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 14 | $809 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 12 | $809 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 09 | $810 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jun 04 | $1,782 | −$3 | -0% |
| Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jun 02 | $809 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 31 | $812 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 28 | $817 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 26 | $814 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 24 | $819 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 22 | $819 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 20 | $820 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 18 | $257 | −$53 | -21% |
| Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 16 | $873 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 14 | $876 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomina | May 12 | $877 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 10 | $880 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 08 | $565 | −$95 | -17% |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 04 | $976 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 02 | $781 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Apr 30 | $979 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 28 | $986 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 mee | Apr 26 | $986 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Apr 24 | $1,976 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 22 | $987 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 20 | $988 | −$1 | -0% |