Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T17:09:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
EE 0xeedf…5ffe crypto 217 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (236 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$44 (+6%) realized +$44 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -19% what you keep after slip
Net edge-19%after slip
Net WR60%break-even
Win rate60%130W / 87L
Drawdown53%max
Avg bet$3per market
Trades / day236.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$43
other 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (236 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +60%
net ROI/market (all)-5.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 217 +4.9% -5.1% 60% 60% -3.7%
≤30d 217 +4.9% -5.1% 60% 60% -3.7%
≤90d 217 +4.9% -5.1% 60% 60% -3.7%
all 217 +4.9% -5.1% 60% 60% -3.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover236.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.1% 60% -3.7%
10% ← realistic here -14.1% 55% -12.9%
15% -22.4% 54% -21.3%
20% -30.0% 54% -29.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +6% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +5% · $-wt +6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +7% → late +3% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$2 · ×0.81 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.21 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$44
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses130 / 87
Open positions0
Markets (closed)217 / 217
History coverage1d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day236.2
Drawdown53%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 217 Trades
no open positions (60 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 16 $8 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$1 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 16 $6 −$3 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 16 $6 −$3 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$2 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$1 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$2 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$1 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$1 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$1 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$1 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$1 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$2 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$1 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$2 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$1 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$1 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$1 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$2 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 16 $6 −$3 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 16 $6 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 16 $6 −$3 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $0 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 36¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET SELL Up 34¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $6 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET SELL Up 34¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $6 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET SELL Up 29¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET SELL Down 34¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET SELL Up 33¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET SELL Up 34¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET SELL Down 34¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 444 history records