Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T02:51:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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EE 0xeee1…c026 crypto 769 markets active 1h ago coverage 240d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$914 (-0%) realized −$954 · open +$40
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate89%684W / 81L
Whale WR94%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1,580per market
Trades / day10.9pace
Fees−$78est.
Kalshi-fit94%portable
Net worth$3,296now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4,690
7 days−$4,356
14 days−$3,806
30 days−$2,320
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 70% −$3,801
sports 16% +$2,313
other 14% +$266
politics 1% −$43
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-14.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 23 -9.4% -18.0% 87% 0% -15.5%
≤30d 131 -0.9% -10.3% 98% 1% -10.2%
≤90d 576 +0.0% -9.5% 99% 0% -9.6%
all 765 -5.9% -14.9% 89% 1% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover10.9 tr/day
realistic slip~11%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.9% 1% -9.6%
10% ← realistic here -23.0% 1% -18.3%
15% -30.5% 1% -26.2%
20% -37.3% 1% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 13% · top 2 18% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
98% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -6% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 94% (≥$1,410) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -12% → late -0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
3.3 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$9 vs −$102 · ×0.09 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.83 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

240d coverage
Net worth$3,296
Realized−$954
Unrealized+$40
Win rate (resolved)89%
Wins / losses684 / 81
Whale WR (big bets)94%
Est. fees paid−$78
Open positions5
Markets (closed)765 / 769
History coverage240d
Avg bet$1,580
Trades / day10.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 5 History 765 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
New York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 167.5 Over 98¢ 100¢ $1,999 $2,047 +$48 (+2%)
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5 Over 50¢ 48¢ $500 $485 −$15 (-3%)
New York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 170.5 Over 99¢ 100¢ $448 $452 +$4 (+1%)
New York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 169.5 Over 99¢ 100¢ $194 $197 +$2 (+1%)
New York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 168.5 Over 99¢ 100¢ $114 $115 +$1 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 57 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Which cryptocurrency will perform better in December 2021: Bitcoin or Jun 18 $0 $0 -100%
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 Jun 17 $100 −$100 -100%
Austria leading at halftime? Jun 17 $9,178 +$9 +0%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? Jun 17 $8,834 +$9 +0%
Argentina vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 17 $335 $0 +0%
Toronto Tempo vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 179.5 Jun 17 $495 +$5 +1%
Toronto Tempo vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 180.5 Jun 17 $778 +$4 +0%
Toronto Tempo vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 175.5 Jun 17 $250 +$2 +1%
Toronto Tempo vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 177.5 Jun 17 $114 +$1 +1%
Toronto Tempo vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 176.5 Jun 17 $114 +$1 +1%
Toronto Tempo vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 178.5 Jun 17 $1,104 +$11 +1%
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 7.5 Jun 17 $1,410 +$1 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June? Jun 16 $13,777 −$4,634 -34%
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? Jun 15 $13,686 +$14 +0%
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 172.5 Jun 14 $167 +$1 +1%
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 173.5 Jun 14 $222 +$2 +1%
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 174.5 Jun 14 $51 +$1 +2%
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 177.5 Jun 14 $60 +$2 +3%
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 175.5 Jun 14 $55 +$1 +2%
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 176.5 Jun 14 $162 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 11? Jun 11 $2,121 +$2 +0%
Will XRP reach $1.15 on June 10? Jun 11 $150 $0 +0%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 200.5 Jun 11 $13,190 +$310 +2%
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 169.5 Jun 11 $248 $0 +0%
Will England vs. Costa Rica end in a draw? Jun 11 $185 $0 +0%
Spread: Argentina (-2.5) Jun 10 $127 +$1 +1%
Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 162.5 Jun 09 $149 +$1 +1%
Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 163.5 Jun 09 $185 +$3 +2%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 208.5 Jun 09 $262 +$3 +1%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 209.5 Jun 09 $12,870 +$130 +1%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5 Jun 09 $139 +$1 +1%
Will Ethereum reach $1,750 on June 7? Jun 08 $72 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 63,400 on June 8, 12AM ET? Jun 08 $150 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 62,800 on June 8, 12AM ET? Jun 08 $150 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 62,600 on June 8, 12AM ET? Jun 08 $150 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 63,600 on June 8, 12AM ET? Jun 08 $160 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $69,000 on June 7? Jun 08 $276 $0 +0%
Spread: Cyprus (-1.5) Jun 07 $990 +$10 +1%
Liechtenstein vs. Cyprus: O/U 4.5 Jun 07 $3,205 +$3 +0%
Vanraure Hachinohe FC vs. FC Imabari: O/U 3.5 Jun 07 $14 $0 +0%
Fukushima United FC vs. FC Ryūkyū: O/U 3.5 Jun 07 $63 $0 +0%
Tokushima Vortis leading at halftime? Jun 07 $28 $0 +0%
Tokushima Vortis vs. Iwaki FC: O/U 1.5 Jun 07 $3,800 +$4 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 6? Jun 07 $90 $0 +0%
Spread: Honduras (-1.5) Jun 07 $90 $0 +0%
Argentina vs. Honduras: O/U 4.5 Jun 07 $1,448 +$1 +0%
Curaçao vs. Aruba: O/U 1.5 Jun 07 $3 $0 +1%
Curaçao vs. Aruba: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $15 $0 +1%
Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty: O/U 174.5 Jun 07 $1,077 +$1 +0%
Malawi leading at halftime? Jun 06 $39 +$1 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
New York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 169.5 BUY Over 99¢ $7 36m
New York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 169.5 BUY Over 99¢ $19 1h
New York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 170.5 BUY Over 99¢ $446 1h
New York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 170.5 BUY Over 98¢ $2 1h
New York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 169.5 BUY Over 99¢ $114 1h
New York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 169.5 BUY Over 98¢ $54 1h
New York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 168.5 BUY Over 99¢ $114 1h
New York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 168.5 BUY Over 98¢ $0 1h
New York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 167.5 BUY Over 99¢ $130 1h
New York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 167.5 BUY Over 98¢ $16 1h
New York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 167.5 BUY Over 97¢ $874 1h
New York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 167.5 BUY Over 98¢ $31 1h
New York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 167.5 BUY Over 98¢ $182 1h
New York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 167.5 BUY Over 98¢ $642 1h
New York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 167.5 BUY Over 98¢ $125 1h
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 50¢ $500 3h
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 54¢ $100 11h
Austria leading at halftime? BUY Yes 100¢ $1,283 21h
Austria leading at halftime? BUY Yes 100¢ $23 21h
Austria leading at halftime? BUY Yes 100¢ $105 21h
Austria leading at halftime? BUY Yes 100¢ $2,869 21h
Austria leading at halftime? BUY Yes 100¢ $2 21h
Austria leading at halftime? BUY Yes 100¢ $2 21h
Austria leading at halftime? BUY Yes 100¢ $34 21h
Austria leading at halftime? BUY Yes 100¢ $378 21h
Austria leading at halftime? BUY Yes 100¢ $220 21h
Austria leading at halftime? BUY Yes 100¢ $79 21h
Austria leading at halftime? BUY Yes 100¢ $4 21h
Austria leading at halftime? BUY Yes 100¢ $57 21h
Austria leading at halftime? BUY Yes 100¢ $5 21h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3,296.15 · official $3,296.15 (match) · 3321 history records