Wallet analysis

2026-06-27T23:04:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.0
score
EE 0xeee6…cfc9 crypto 464 markets active 2h ago coverage 66d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$176 (+1%) realized +$176 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -13% what you keep after slip
Net edge-13%after slip
Net WR2%break-even
Win rate98%456W / 8L
Drawdown45%max
Avg bet$48per market
Trades / day7.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$94
7 days−$66
14 days−$6
30 days+$107
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% +$137
world 0% +$5
other 0% +$2
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-9.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 23 -3.0% -12.2% 96% 0% -11.2%
≤30d 132 +1.0% -8.6% 99% 2% -8.8%
≤90d 464 +0.4% -9.2% 98% 2% -8.9%
all 464 +0.4% -9.2% 98% 2% -8.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover7.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.2% 2% -8.9%
10% -17.8% 1% -17.7%
15% -25.8% 1% -25.6%
20% -33.1% 0% -32.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 10% · top 2 16% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
98% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late +1% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$22 · ×0.03 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.81 per $1 lost it wins $1.81
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

66d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$176
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses456 / 8
Open positions0
Markets (closed)464 / 464
History coverage66d
Avg bet$48
Trades / day7.1
Drawdown45%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 464 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 27 $109 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 27 $107 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 27 $106 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 27 $105 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 27 $104 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 27 $111 −$111 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 27 $66 +$5 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 26 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 26 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 26 $196 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 26 $194 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 24 $192 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 24 $188 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 24 $188 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 23 $186 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 23 $184 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 23 $182 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 21 $182 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 21 $181 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 21 $179 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 21 $177 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 21 $176 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 21 $169 +$5 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 20 $168 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 20 $166 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 20 $165 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 20 $163 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 20 $162 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 20 $160 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 20 $159 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 20 $157 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 20 $156 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 20 $153 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 20 $149 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 20 $148 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 19 $146 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 19 $145 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 19 $143 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 19 $142 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 19 $141 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 19 $139 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 19 $138 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 19 $137 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 19 $135 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 19 $134 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 19 $133 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 19 $136 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 19 $130 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 19 $129 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 19 $128 +$1 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $109 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $107 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $106 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $105 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $104 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $111 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $66 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $198 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $196 26h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $194 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $192 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $188 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $188 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $186 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $184 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $182 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $182 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $181 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $179 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $177 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $176 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $169 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $168 7d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $166 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $165 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $163 7d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $162 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $160 7d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $159 7d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1021 history records