Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T06:44:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
EE 0xeee9…39e5 crypto 17 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d
UNRELIABLEdata unreliable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover! limited sample (<25 closed)
Total PnL −$10 (-8%) realized −$10 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -14% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -34% what you keep after slip
Net edge-34%after slip
Net WR29%break-even
Win rate35%6W / 11L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$8per market
Trades / day33.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-22.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 17 -13.8% -22.0% 35% 29% -16.9%
≤30d 17 -13.8% -22.0% 35% 29% -16.9%
≤90d 17 -13.8% -22.0% 35% 29% -16.9%
all 17 -13.8% -22.0% 35% 29% -16.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover33.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.0% 29% -16.9%
10% ← realistic here -29.5% 24% -24.9%
15% -36.3% 24% -32.1%
20% -42.6% 18% -38.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 52% · top 2 65% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -8% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
17% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -14% · $-wt -8% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +21% → late -45% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.9 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$2 · ×0.79 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.43 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$10
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses6 / 11
Open positions0
Markets (closed)17 / 17
History coverage1d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day33.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 17 Trades
no open positions (5 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 28 $2 +$1 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 28 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 28 $91 −$6 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 28 $4 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 28 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 28 $6 −$3 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 28 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 28 $2 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 28 $3 −$2 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 28 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 28 $3 −$1 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 28 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 28 $2 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 28 $2 +$4 +197%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 28 $3 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 28 $1 +$1 +105%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $80 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 45 history records