Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T15:56:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3.0
score
EE 0xeef3…0547 sports 1199 markets active 0h ago coverage 116d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 116d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$4,470 (+2%) realized +$4,470 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -20% what you keep after slip
Net edge-20%after slip
Net WR52%break-even
Win rate53%640W / 558L
Whale WR47%big bets
Drawdown93%max
Avg bet$155per market
Trades / day21.1pace
Fees−$1,705est.
Kalshi-fit83%portable
Net worth$20now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$14,509
7 days−$12,884
14 days−$22,829
30 days−$15,383
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 64% +$4,905
other 22% −$1,354
crypto 10% −$481
finance 3% +$496
world 1% −$608
tech 1% −$209
politics 0% +$332
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-6.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 111 -37.8% -43.7% 32% 30% -62.0%
≤30d 284 -14.3% -22.5% 44% 41% -32.0%
≤90d 848 +3.3% -6.5% 52% 51% -7.3%
all 1198 +3.4% -6.5% 53% 52% -8.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover21.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.5% 52% -8.0%
10% ← realistic here -15.4% 49% -16.8%
15% -23.6% 46% -24.9%
20% -31.1% 42% -32.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
3% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +3% · $-wt +2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 47% (≥$500) neutral
Persistence
early +8% → late -1% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$143 vs −$159 · ×0.9 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.03 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

116d coverage
Net worth$20
Realized+$4,470
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses640 / 558
Whale WR (big bets)47%
Est. fees paid−$1,705
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1198 / 1199
History coverage116d ⚠
Avg bet$155
Trades / day21.1
Drawdown93%
Kalshi-fit83%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 1198 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advance Canada 75¢ 74¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 126 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 28 $53 +$132 +251%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 28 $51 +$30 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 28 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 28 $129 +$69 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 28 $77 −$75 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 28 $104 +$115 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 28 $77 −$75 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 28 $51 +$21 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 28 $77 +$40 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 28 $25 +$2 +8%
Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 4.5 Jun 28 $79 +$376 +476%
Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5 Jun 28 $264 −$260 -98%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? Jun 28 $490 +$510 +104%
Will England win on 2026-06-27? Jun 27 $10 +$2 +17%
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? Jun 27 $298 −$294 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 27 $63 +$54 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 27 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 27 $51 +$12 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 27 $103 +$14 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 27 $233 +$11 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 27 $210 +$427 +204%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 27 $104 −$100 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 27 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 27 $51 +$15 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 27 $208 +$267 +128%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 27 $104 −$100 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 27 $77 −$75 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 27 $52 +$9 +18%
Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-05-17? Jun 27 $265 −$265 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 27 $173 −$173 -100%
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5 Jun 27 $240 −$240 -100%
Spread: Spain (-2.5) Jun 27 $213 −$213 -100%
Spread: Morocco (-2.5) Jun 27 $204 −$204 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 27 $27 −$27 -100%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 27 $204 −$204 -100%
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-05-06? Jun 27 $229 −$229 -100%
Spread: Thunder (-14.5) Jun 27 $250 −$250 -100%
Spread: Uruguay (-1.5) Jun 27 $215 −$215 -100%
Will China PR win on 2026-06-05? Jun 27 $230 −$230 -100%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winner Jun 27 $204 −$204 -100%
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner Jun 27 $199 −$199 -100%
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-05-16? Jun 27 $204 −$204 -100%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 27 $304 −$304 -100%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 27 $234 −$234 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 27 $213 −$213 -100%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 27 $142 −$142 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Jun 27 $194 −$194 -100%
LoL: Oh My God vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana Jun 27 $204 −$204 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 27 $204 −$204 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $184 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $26 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $26 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $26 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $26 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $26 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $26 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $198 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $103 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $26 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $26 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $26 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $25 26m
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advance BUY Canada 75¢ $20 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET SELL Up 84¢ $219 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $25 5h
Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 17¢ $79 12h
Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 43¢ $264 13h
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? BUY No 49¢ $490 16h
Will England win on 2026-06-27? BUY Yes 85¢ $10 23h
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? BUY No 49¢ $298 24h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $19.87 · official $19.87 (match) · 3500 history records