Wallet analysis

2026-06-26T18:20:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
EE 0xeef6…d983 crypto 14 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ bot/MM pace (134 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage! limited sample (<25 closed)
Total PnL +$19 (+3%) realized +$19 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR36%break-even
Win rate86%12W / 2L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$52per market
Trades / day134.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$19
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (134 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-11.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 -1.6% -11.0% 86% 36% -7.1%
≤30d 14 -1.6% -11.0% 86% 36% -7.1%
≤90d 14 -1.6% -11.0% 86% 36% -7.1%
all 14 -1.6% -11.0% 86% 36% -7.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover134.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.0% 36% -7.1%
10% ← realistic here -19.5% 29% -16.0%
15% -27.3% 7% -24.1%
20% -34.4% 0% -31.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 33% · top 2 62% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
58% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt +3% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +3% → late -6% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
8.7 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$9 vs −$46 · ×0.2 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.21 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$19
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)86%
Wins / losses12 / 2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)14 / 14
History coverage1d
Avg bet$52
Trades / day134.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 14 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 26 $51 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 26 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 26 $69 +$19 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 26 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 26 $66 −$66 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 26 $68 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 26 $128 +$5 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 26 $26 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 26 $96 +$33 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 26 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 26 $85 +$36 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 26 $78 +$7 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 26 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 26 $15 +$4 +25%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $26 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $25 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET SELL Up 52¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET SELL Up 54¢ $27 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $26 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 44¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $88 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $25 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $25 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $26 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $26 48m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 137 history records