trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +78.6% | +61.6% | 75% | 75% | +67.5% |
| ≤30d | 11 | +99.5% | +80.5% | 73% | 73% | +29.5% |
| ≤90d | 13 | +75.4% | +58.7% | 62% | 62% | +22.8% |
| all | 25 | +27.6% | +15.4% | 52% | 52% | +13.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +15.4% | 52% | +13.7% |
| 10% | +4.4% | 48% | +2.8% |
| 15% | -5.7% | 48% | -7.1% |
| 20% | -14.9% | 40% | -16.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 23¢ | $250 | $356 | +$106 (+43%) |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 13¢ | 10¢ | $200 | $162 | −$38 (-19%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 11¢ | $250 | $157 | −$93 (-37%) |
| Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027? | Yes | 15¢ | 24¢ | $45 | $72 | +$27 (+60%) |
| Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 20¢ | 20¢ | $50 | $51 | +$1 (+2%) |
| Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 7¢ | 7¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 5.5 | Jun 28 | $45 | +$65 | +144% |
| Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 4.5 | Jun 28 | $45 | +$45 | +100% |
| Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw? | Jun 28 | $33 | −$33 | -100% |
| Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw? | Jun 27 | $33 | +$56 | +170% |
| Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 3.5 | Jun 21 | $31 | +$43 | +139% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $71 | +$27 | +38% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $84 | +$213 | +254% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $41 | −$24 | -59% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 09 | $1,098 | +$176 | +16% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 04 | $70 | +$322 | +460% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 31 | $198 | −$135 | -68% |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 21 | $113 | −$71 | -63% |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 04 | $20 | −$10 | -51% |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Sep 15 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Sep 15 | $91 | −$91 | -100% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Sep 15 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Meteora FDV above $2B one day after launch? | Sep 15 | $33 | +$25 | +77% |
| Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Sep 15 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Native Markets win the USDH ticker? | Sep 15 | $30 | +$20 | +64% |
| Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Sep 15 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Sep 15 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Paxos win the USDH ticker? | Sep 11 | $31 | −$26 | -84% |
| WLFI >$13B market cap (FDV) one day after launch? | Sep 10 | $63 | +$37 | +59% |
| Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16? | Sep 10 | $20 | +$31 | +155% |
| Ethereum above $4200 on August 11? | Aug 11 | $12 | +$5 | +38% |