Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:09:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EF
0xef00…de7f
sports · 94 markets active 2h ago
7.0score
+$1,767 +9%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,684 · open +$170
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,238
Realized+$1,684
Unrealized+$170
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses40 / 52
Est. fees paid−$345
Open positions2
Markets (closed)92 / 94
History coverage61d
Avg bet$208
Trades / day2.8
Drawdown88%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 92 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$342
7 days−$2,629
14 days−$2,119
30 days+$1,555
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 56¢ 44¢ $918 $713 −$205 (-22%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 23¢ 80¢ $150 $525 +$375 (+250%)
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) Vitality 57¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 B8 30¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $152 +$79 +52%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $153 −$150 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $153 −$82 -53%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $848 +$482 +57%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $152 +$116 +76%
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $152 +$84 +55%
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs INOX Division (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Jun 11 $152 −$152 -100%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 11 $151 −$151 -100%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) Jun 11 $152 −$150 -99%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group S Jun 10 $153 +$266 +174%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $295 +$391 +133%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $152 −$152 -100%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 09 $307 −$168 -55%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $307 −$205 -67%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $153 −$64 -42%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $160 −$160 -100%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $153 +$311 +203%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $76 −$76 -100%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B Jun 08 $76 −$76 -100%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 08 $75 −$75 -100%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 08 $74 −$74 -100%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B Jun 08 $75 −$75 -100%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 08 $75 −$75 -100%
Dota 2: PlayTime vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B Jun 08 $75 −$75 -100%
Counter-Strike: NAVI Junior vs MANA eSports (BO3) - European Pro Leagu Jun 08 $21 −$21 -100%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $335 −$210 -63%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 08 $152 +$181 +119%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $305 +$200 +66%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $76 +$50 +66%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $51 −$32 -62%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $152 −$152 -100%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs Jun 07 $82 −$82 -100%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Play Jun 07 $74 −$74 -100%
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - BC Game Masters E Jun 07 $152 −$152 -100%
Valorant: Division One vs Dynamo Esports (BO3) - VCL North America: St Jun 07 $128 −$128 -100%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs Jun 07 $75 −$75 -100%
Counter-Strike: Oxuji Esports vs SPARTA (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship G Jun 07 $107 −$107 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoff Jun 07 $74 −$74 -100%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $149 −$149 -100%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $148 −$148 -100%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 07 $233 −$233 -100%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier Jun 07 $102 −$102 -100%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 07 $244 −$244 -100%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 07 $74 −$74 -100%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $153 −$153 -100%
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B Jun 07 $150 −$150 -100%
Counter-Strike: magic vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs Jun 07 $74 −$74 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - BC Game Masters Eu Jun 07 $250 −$250 -100%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 07 $153 −$153 -100%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs Jun 07 $259 −$259 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$1,854
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 65¢ $139 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 23¢ $153 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Monte 18¢ $62 1h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FURIA 100¢ $231 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 61¢ $485 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 42¢ $153 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 47¢ $305 2h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 65¢ $152 5h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY B8 30¢ $153 5h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Natus Vincere 18¢ $71 19h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 37¢ $153 19h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Team Falcons 100¢ $1,330 19h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 63¢ $2 24h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 63¢ $847 24h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL MOUZ 100¢ $268 24h
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) BUY Vitality 57¢ $152 26h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 56¢ $152 26h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group S BUY G2 Ares 36¢ $153 44h
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs INOX Division (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series BUY INOX Division 45¢ $152 47h
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Rune Eaters 99¢ $236 47h
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Rune Eaters 63¢ $152 2d
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 SELL B8 100¢ $686 2d
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY B8 34¢ $148 2d
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY B8 56¢ $147 2d
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY TYLOO 12¢ $151 2d
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY M80 12¢ $154 3d
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 SELL BIG 17¢ $89 3d
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 SELL M80 16¢ $102 3d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 12¢ $154 3d
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY BIG 28¢ $153 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-9.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 70 -35.5% -41.7% 27% 27% -26.5%
≤30d 91 -2.3% -11.6% 43% 43% -1.8%
≤90d 92 -0.4% -9.9% 43% 43% -1.2%
all 92 -0.4% -9.9% 43% 43% -1.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.8 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.9% 43% -1.2%
10% -18.5% 43% -10.7%
15% -26.4% 43% -19.3%
20% -33.6% 40% -27.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,237.59 · official $1,237.59 (match) · 222 history records