Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:59:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EF
0xef03…3470
crypto · 675 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$146 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$146 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$146
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses356 / 319
Open positions0
Markets (closed)675 / 675
History coverage38d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day55.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 675 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$69
7 days−$23
14 days−$26
30 days−$132
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $83 −$26 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$10 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $62 +$20 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $63 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$10 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $41 +$14 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $41 +$25 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $40 +$5 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $40 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $35 +$4 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $35 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $35 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $35 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$6 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -48%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$146
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET SELL Down 29¢ $29 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $42 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET SELL Down 31¢ $29 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $42 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET SELL Down 76¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET SELL Down 67¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET SELL Up 33¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET SELL Up 66¢ $70 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Up 41¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Up 33¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Up 39¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET SELL Up 15¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET SELL Up 66¢ $56 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET SELL Down 68¢ $46 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET SELL Up 70¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $20 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-14.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 180 -2.1% -11.4% 76% 14% -10.7%
≤30d 533 -5.5% -14.5% 55% 28% -12.6%
≤90d 675 -5.2% -14.2% 53% 29% -12.7%
all 675 -5.2% -14.2% 53% 29% -12.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover55.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.2% 29% -12.7%
10% ← realistic here -22.4% 16% -21.1%
15% -29.9% 9% -28.7%
20% -36.8% 6% -35.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2110 history records