trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 26 | -1.2% | -10.6% | 42% | 42% | -9.2% |
| ≤30d | 26 | -1.2% | -10.6% | 42% | 42% | -9.2% |
| ≤90d | 26 | -1.2% | -10.6% | 42% | 42% | -9.2% |
| all | 26 | -1.2% | -10.6% | 42% | 42% | -9.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.6% | 42% | -9.2% |
| 10% | -19.2% | 42% | -17.9% |
| 15% | -27.0% | 42% | -25.9% |
| 20% | -34.2% | 38% | -33.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 4¢ | 6¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+38%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 18¢ | 20¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+6%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score | Jun 20 | $253 | +$164 | +65% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $30 | −$29 | -98% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $14 | +$16 | +114% |
| Brazil vs. Haiti: Both Teams to Score | Jun 20 | $37 | −$37 | -100% |
| Scotland vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score | Jun 20 | $117 | −$117 | -100% |
| United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score | Jun 20 | $61 | −$61 | -100% |
| France vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Score | Jun 20 | $10 | −$1 | -10% |
| Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score | Jun 20 | $10 | −$1 | -6% |
| Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Score | Jun 20 | $10 | −$1 | -7% |
| Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score | Jun 19 | $19 | −$19 | -100% |
| Canada vs. Qatar: Both Teams to Score | Jun 19 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score | Jun 18 | $114 | +$76 | +67% |
| Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Czechia vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score | Jun 18 | $19 | +$20 | +103% |
| Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score | Jun 18 | $1 | +$1 | +134% |
| Ghana vs. Panama: Both Teams to Score | Jun 18 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score | Jun 17 | $2 | +$2 | +109% |
| Portugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score | Jun 17 | $1 | +$1 | +140% |
| Austria vs. Jordan: Both Teams to Score | Jun 17 | $1 | +$1 | +124% |
| Argentina vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score | Jun 17 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Iraq vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score | Jun 17 | $1 | +$2 | +180% |
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $2 | +$1 | +50% |
| France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score | Jun 16 | $1 | +$1 | +105% |