trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 38¢ | 24¢ | $100 | $61 | −$39 (-39%) |
| Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 49¢ | 68¢ | $25 | $35 | +$10 (+40%) |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Yes | 33¢ | 32¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET | Up | 44¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $41 | +$4 | +10% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET | Jun 12 | $10 | −$2 | -17% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET | Jun 12 | $5 | −$5 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET | Jun 12 | $11 | −$3 | -26% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET | Jun 12 | $5 | −$2 | -32% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET | Jun 12 | $12 | +$1 | +4% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET | Jun 12 | $5 | −$4 | -78% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET | Jun 12 | $16 | −$16 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET | Jun 12 | $5 | +$10 | +190% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | -16.5% | -24.4% | 33% | 11% | -23.2% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -16.5% | -24.4% | 33% | 11% | -23.2% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -16.5% | -24.4% | 33% | 11% | -23.2% |
| all | 9 | -16.5% | -24.4% | 33% | 11% | -23.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -24.4% | 11% | -23.2% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -31.7% | 11% | -30.5% |
| 15% | -38.3% | 11% | -37.2% |
| 20% | -44.3% | 11% | -43.4% |