Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:33:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EF
0xef33…583a
other · 25 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$6 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$18 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$18
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)92%
Wins / losses23 / 2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)25 / 25
History coverage1d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day29.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit36%
Chart Positions 0 History 25 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$18
7 days−$18
14 days−$18
30 days−$18
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $25 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $25 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $25 $0 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 14 $25 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $25 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 14 $17 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $24 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $22 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $25 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $25 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $25 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $25 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $25 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $25 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $11 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $25 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +86%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $25 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $25 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 70% −$21
crypto 30% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 50m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $15 50m
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $15 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $17 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $16 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $8 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $22 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 4h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 4h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 4h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $11 5h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 5h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 5h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 5h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-12.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 25 -3.6% -12.8% 92% 4% -12.5%
≤30d 25 -3.6% -12.8% 92% 4% -12.5%
≤90d 25 -3.6% -12.8% 92% 4% -12.5%
all 25 -3.6% -12.8% 92% 4% -12.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover29.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.8% 4% -12.5%
10% ← realistic here -21.1% 4% -20.8%
15% -28.8% 4% -28.5%
20% -35.7% 4% -35.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 53 history records