trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 13 | -10.6% | -19.1% | 23% | 0% | -10.5% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -10.6% | -19.1% | 23% | 0% | -10.5% |
| all | 25 | -9.4% | -18.0% | 32% | 0% | -12.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -18.0% | 0% | -12.1% |
| 10% | -25.8% | 0% | -20.5% |
| 15% | -33.0% | 0% | -28.2% |
| 20% | -39.6% | 0% | -35.2% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | Jun 23 | $45 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30? | Jun 22 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 07 | $2 | $0 | +7% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | Jun 07 | $44 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 06 | $49 | $0 | -0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Jun 06 | $93 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Jun 06 | $33 | −$1 | -4% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | Jun 05 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 05 | $21 | −$1 | -3% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | Jun 04 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Jun 01 | $4 | −$1 | -36% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | May 28 | $48 | −$1 | -2% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 28 | $8 | −$1 | -13% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York | Jun 26 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in May? | Jun 02 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Mario Grech be the next pope? | May 09 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Trump signs national abortion ban? | Apr 16 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30? | Apr 15 | $11 | $0 | +1% |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting? | Apr 13 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on April 30? | Apr 13 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series? | Apr 12 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian electio | Apr 10 | $12 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Walmart buy TikTok? | Apr 08 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will CDU/CSU and AfD form the next German Government? | Mar 28 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 Chinese Grand Prix Sprint? | Mar 23 | $12 | $0 | +1% |