Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:27:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EF
0xef53…0d14
crypto · 1678 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$295 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$295 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$295
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses1678 / 0
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1678 / 1678
History coverage11d
Avg bet$129
Trades / day157.1
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 0 History 1678 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$82
7 days+$207
14 days+$295
30 days+$295
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin above 63,200 on June 12, 10PM ET? Jun 13 $136 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 64,200 on June 12, 10PM ET? Jun 13 $150 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 63,400 on June 12, 10PM ET? Jun 13 $136 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,700 on June 12, 10PM ET? Jun 13 $150 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,620 on June 12, 10PM ET? Jun 13 $150 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,650 on June 12, 10PM ET? Jun 13 $150 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,660 on June 12, 10PM ET? Jun 13 $136 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,610 on June 12, 9PM ET? Jun 13 $150 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,700 on June 12, 9PM ET? Jun 13 $150 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,600 on June 12, 9PM ET? Jun 13 $150 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,620 on June 12, 9PM ET? Jun 13 $150 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,690 on June 12, 9PM ET? Jun 13 $150 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,650 on June 12, 9PM ET? Jun 13 $150 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,680 on June 12, 9PM ET? Jun 13 $150 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 62,800 on June 12, 9PM ET? Jun 13 $150 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 61,600 on June 12, 9PM ET? Jun 13 $150 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 62,000 on June 12, 9PM ET? Jun 13 $150 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 62,200 on June 12, 9PM ET? Jun 13 $150 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 64,400 on June 12, 9PM ET? Jun 13 $150 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 64,200 on June 12, 9PM ET? Jun 13 $136 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 64,000 on June 12, 9PM ET? Jun 13 $136 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,690 on June 12, 8PM ET? Jun 13 $155 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 64,200 on June 12, 8PM ET? Jun 13 $142 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 61,600 on June 12, 8PM ET? Jun 13 $150 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 64,600 on June 12, 8PM ET? Jun 13 $52 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,650 on June 12, 8PM ET? Jun 13 $155 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,640 on June 12, 8PM ET? Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin above 63,000 on June 12, 8PM ET? Jun 13 $136 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 64,000 on June 12, 8PM ET? Jun 13 $136 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 62,800 on June 12, 8PM ET? Jun 13 $150 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 64,400 on June 12, 8PM ET? Jun 13 $254 +$1 +0%
Ethereum above 1,700 on June 12, 8PM ET? Jun 13 $155 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 65,000 on June 12, 7PM ET? Jun 12 $150 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,730 on June 12, 7PM ET? Jun 12 $150 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 62,000 on June 12, 7PM ET? Jun 12 $150 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,680 on June 12, 6PM ET? Jun 12 $150 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 62,800 on June 12, 6PM ET? Jun 12 $150 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 64,400 on June 12, 6PM ET? Jun 12 $150 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 63,200 on June 12, 5PM ET? Jun 12 $138 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,640 on June 12, 5PM ET? Jun 12 $150 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,740 on June 12, 5PM ET? Jun 12 $150 $0 +0%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 12 $200 $0 +0%
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $345 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 12 $65 $0 +0%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 12 $105 $0 +0%
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $375 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 12 $50 $0 +0%
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $380 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 12 $58 $0 +0%
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $335 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 12 $85 $0 +0%
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $550 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 12 $75 $0 +0%
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $395 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 12 $72 $0 +0%
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $390 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 12 $86 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 86% +$230
finance 5% +$14
tech 5% +$32
other 3% +$13
sports 1% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin above 63,200 on June 12, 10PM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $136 27m
Bitcoin above 63,400 on June 12, 10PM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $136 27m
Bitcoin above 64,200 on June 12, 10PM ET? BUY No 100¢ $150 27m
Ethereum above 1,660 on June 12, 10PM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $136 27m
Ethereum above 1,620 on June 12, 10PM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $150 29m
Ethereum above 1,650 on June 12, 10PM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $150 31m
Ethereum above 1,700 on June 12, 10PM ET? BUY No 100¢ $150 31m
Bitcoin above 64,200 on June 12, 9PM ET? BUY No 100¢ $136 1h
Ethereum above 1,680 on June 12, 9PM ET? BUY No 100¢ $150 1h
Bitcoin above 64,000 on June 12, 9PM ET? BUY No 100¢ $136 1h
Ethereum above 1,650 on June 12, 9PM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $150 1h
Ethereum above 1,690 on June 12, 9PM ET? BUY No 100¢ $150 1h
Bitcoin above 64,400 on June 12, 9PM ET? BUY No 100¢ $150 1h
Bitcoin above 62,800 on June 12, 9PM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $150 1h
Ethereum above 1,620 on June 12, 9PM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $150 1h
Ethereum above 1,700 on June 12, 9PM ET? BUY No 100¢ $150 1h
Bitcoin above 62,200 on June 12, 9PM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $150 1h
Bitcoin above 62,000 on June 12, 9PM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $150 1h
Bitcoin above 61,600 on June 12, 9PM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $150 1h
Ethereum above 1,600 on June 12, 9PM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $150 1h
Ethereum above 1,610 on June 12, 9PM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $150 1h
Bitcoin above 63,000 on June 12, 8PM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $136 2h
Ethereum above 1,650 on June 12, 8PM ET? BUY Yes 99¢ $5 2h
Ethereum above 1,650 on June 12, 8PM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $150 2h
Bitcoin above 64,000 on June 12, 8PM ET? BUY No 100¢ $136 2h
Bitcoin above 64,200 on June 12, 8PM ET? BUY No 100¢ $142 2h
Ethereum above 1,700 on June 12, 8PM ET? BUY No 99¢ $5 2h
Ethereum above 1,690 on June 12, 8PM ET? BUY No 99¢ $5 2h
Ethereum above 1,640 on June 12, 8PM ET? BUY Yes 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin above 64,400 on June 12, 8PM ET? BUY No 99¢ $104 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1409 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤30d 1678 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤90d 1678 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
all 1678 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover157.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.4% 0% -9.4%
10% ← realistic here -18.1% 0% -18.1%
15% -26.0% 0% -26.0%
20% -33.2% 0% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records