trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 12 | -16.2% | -24.2% | 42% | 42% | -16.2% |
| ≤30d | 26 | -20.0% | -27.6% | 42% | 42% | -30.4% |
| ≤90d | 26 | -20.0% | -27.6% | 42% | 42% | -30.4% |
| all | 26 | -20.0% | -27.6% | 42% | 42% | -30.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -27.6% | 42% | -30.4% |
| 10% | -34.5% | 27% | -37.0% |
| 15% | -40.9% | 27% | -43.1% |
| 20% | -46.7% | 19% | -48.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advance | Canada | 67¢ | 66¢ | $40 | $40 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? | Yes | 72¢ | 74¢ | $30 | $31 | +$1 (+2%) |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-30? | Yes | 47¢ | 48¢ | $30 | $30 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 21¢ | 23¢ | $15 | $16 | +$1 (+10%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 8¢ | 6¢ | $17 | $12 | −$5 (-28%) |
| Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 39¢ | 52¢ | $4 | $6 | +$1 (+34%) |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 88¢ | 88¢ | $2 | $2 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | Jun 28 | $18 | −$18 | -100% |
| Alien abduction at Brazil vs Scotland game in Miami? | Jun 28 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27? | Jun 28 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 1.5 AND Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27? | Jun 28 | $10 | +$22 | +216% |
| Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 28 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 27 | $6 | +$4 | +62% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 26 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw? | Jun 26 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $20 | +$28 | +140% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET | Jun 23 | $1 | $0 | +38% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET | Jun 23 | $10 | +$1 | +14% |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $5 | −$3 | -65% |
| Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $14 | +$6 | +44% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 21 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $6 | +$9 | +165% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $31 | +$4 | +12% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $26 | +$5 | +18% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET | Jun 19 | $1 | $0 | +16% |
| Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $1 | −$1 | -85% |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 19 | $2 | $0 | -6% |
| Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $10 | +$11 | +109% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $16 | −$16 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET | Jun 18 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |