Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:06:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EF
0xef68…b9f4
crypto · 866 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$743 -36%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$743 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$743
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses423 / 642
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1065 / 866
History coverage14d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day215.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1065 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$643
7 days−$657
14 days−$744
30 days−$743
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Buccaneers vs. Seahawks Seahawks 78¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$5 -186%
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$1 -754%
Buccaneers vs. Seahawks Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $15 −$11 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -156%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -139%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -49%
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -234%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -734%
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -130%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -152%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$1 -682%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 14 $0 +$1 +1732%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$1 -625%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$1 -3124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$1 -183%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$1 -196%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$13 -216%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$6 -813%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -88%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$121
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $0 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET SELL Down 20¢ $2 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $2 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Down 67¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Down 57¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET SELL Up 74¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET SELL Up 61¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET SELL Down 15¢ $0 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET SELL Down 15¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET SELL Down 8¢ $0 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET SELL Down 8¢ $0 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET SELL Down 8¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $0 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-28.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 339 -52.2% -56.8% 17% 16% -76.6%
≤30d 1065 -20.6% -28.2% 40% 35% -32.8%
≤90d 1065 -20.6% -28.2% 40% 35% -32.8%
all 1065 -20.6% -28.2% 40% 35% -32.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover215.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -28.2% 35% -32.8%
10% ← realistic here -35.1% 30% -39.2%
15% -41.3% 24% -45.1%
20% -47.1% 19% -50.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records