trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 12 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 42% | 0% | -9.9% |
| ≤90d | 12 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 42% | 0% | -9.9% |
| all | 29 | -5.6% | -14.6% | 52% | 7% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.6% | 7% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -22.7% | 0% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -30.2% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -37.0% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Jun 18 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 17 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 06 | $31 | $0 | -1% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | Jun 01 | $1 | $0 | -8% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 29 | $12 | $0 | +2% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | May 29 | $30 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | May 29 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 28 | $35 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | May 28 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by Ma | May 27 | $1 | $0 | +9% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | May 26 | $55 | +$1 | +3% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | May 26 | $38 | −$3 | -8% |
| Will Chelsea win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Jun 23 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Mohamed Salah win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | Jun 09 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1600 in May? | Jun 02 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Mario Grech be the next pope? | May 09 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $86000 on Apr 18? | Apr 19 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series? | Apr 04 | $16 | $0 | -0% |
| Will 'A Working Man' gross between 11-14m on opening weekend? | Apr 03 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the Raiders make the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft? | Apr 03 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 02 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 01 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Lazio win the UEFA Europa League? | Apr 01 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the number of federal employees decrease by 25,000-50,000 between | Mar 31 | $9 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 31 | $1 | $0 | +17% |
| Bitcoin above $84,000 on March 28? | Mar 29 | $15 | $0 | +2% |
| Trump meets with Zelenskyy in March? | Mar 27 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon tweet 325-349 times March 21-28? | Mar 27 | $15 | +$1 | +4% |
| Rice vs. Memphis | Mar 22 | $14 | +$2 | +11% |