trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-03-14? | No | 44¢ | 0¢ | $730,929 | $0 | −$730,929 (-100%) |
| Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-14? | No | 33¢ | 0¢ | $18,786 | $0 | −$18,786 (-100%) |
| Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-18? | Yes | 19¢ | 0¢ | $95,000 | $0 | −$95,000 (-100%) |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18? | No | 40¢ | 0¢ | $640,415 | $0 | −$640,415 (-100%) |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18? | No | 22¢ | 0¢ | $45,000 | $0 | −$45,000 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18? | Mar 18 | $702,466 | −$640,415 | -91% |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18? | Mar 18 | $45,000 | −$45,000 | -100% |
| Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-18? | Mar 18 | $95,000 | −$95,000 | -100% |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-17? | Mar 18 | $1,244,719 | +$839,502 | +67% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17? | Mar 18 | $1,368,857 | +$2,384,072 | +174% |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-03-16? | Mar 17 | $1,783,026 | +$2,010,450 | +113% |
| Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-14? | Mar 14 | $18,787 | −$18,786 | -100% |
| Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-03-14? | Mar 14 | $731,046 | −$730,929 | -100% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | 8 | -18.2% | -26.0% | 38% | 38% | +47.0% |
| all | 8 | -18.2% | -26.0% | 38% | 38% | +47.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -26.0% | 38% | +47.0% |
| 10% | -33.1% | 38% | +33.0% |
| 15% ← realistic here | -39.5% | 38% | +20.1% |
| 20% | -45.5% | 38% | +8.3% |