Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:08:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EF
0xefd8…7e05
crypto · 197 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$90 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$90 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$90
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses107 / 90
Open positions0
Markets (closed)197 / 197
History coverage25d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day13.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 197 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$54
7 days−$54
14 days−$79
30 days−$90
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +85%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 01 $3 −$3 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 01 $1 $0 +15%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 01 $3 +$1 +46%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 01 $3 −$3 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 01 $3 −$3 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 01 $3 −$3 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 01 $3 +$2 +50%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 01 $3 −$3 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 01 $3 −$3 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 01 $3 +$1 +31%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 01 $3 +$1 +42%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 01 $3 −$3 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 01 $3 −$3 -99%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 01 $3 +$1 +42%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 01 $3 −$3 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 01 $3 +$1 +29%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 01 $3 −$3 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 01 $3 +$2 +53%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 01 $3 +$1 +29%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 01 $3 +$2 +57%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 01 $3 +$1 +26%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 01 $3 −$3 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 01 $3 +$1 +26%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 01 $3 −$3 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 01 $3 +$1 +42%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 01 $3 $0 +15%
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 01 $3 +$1 +46%
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 01 $3 +$1 +36%
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 01 $3 −$3 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$90
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 8h
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 11d
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 11d
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $3 11d
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 11d
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 11d
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $3 11d
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 11d
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $3 11d
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $3 11d
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $3 11d
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $3 11d
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $3 11d
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $3 11d
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $3 11d
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $3 11d
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $3 11d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-18.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 21 -42.6% -48.1% 33% 29% -70.4%
≤30d 197 -9.8% -18.4% 54% 48% -18.9%
≤90d 197 -9.8% -18.4% 54% 48% -18.9%
all 197 -9.8% -18.4% 54% 48% -18.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.4% 48% -18.9%
10% -26.2% 40% -26.7%
15% -33.3% 32% -33.8%
20% -39.8% 25% -40.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 478 history records