Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:27:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F0
0xf000…7d0d
crypto · 387 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$149 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$149 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$149
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses207 / 180
Open positions0
Markets (closed)387 / 387
History coverage97d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day10.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 387 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$28
7 days−$28
14 days−$28
30 days−$28
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +115%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$4 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$3 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$4 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$6 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Apr 19 $7 −$5 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Apr 19 $4 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Apr 19 $4 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Apr 19 $8 −$5 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Apr 19 $8 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Apr 19 $6 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Apr 19 $6 −$3 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Apr 19 $6 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Apr 19 $6 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Apr 19 $6 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Apr 19 $6 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Apr 19 $6 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Apr 19 $10 −$4 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Apr 19 $10 −$6 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Apr 19 $10 −$9 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Apr 19 $10 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Apr 19 $10 −$5 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Apr 19 $10 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Apr 19 $10 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Apr 18 $10 +$2 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Apr 18 $10 +$3 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Apr 18 $16 +$4 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Apr 18 $10 −$5 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Apr 18 $10 −$5 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Apr 18 $10 +$2 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Apr 18 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Apr 18 $10 +$2 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Apr 18 $15 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Apr 18 $15 +$3 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Apr 18 $15 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Apr 18 $7 −$7 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$100
sports 1% −$27
weather 1% −$21
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 10¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET SELL Up 42¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $8 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $8 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET SELL Up 91¢ $12 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $11 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $8 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Up 42¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $7 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $7 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $7 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $7 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET SELL Up 100¢ $7 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $7 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET SELL Up 84¢ $6 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET SELL Down 26¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $8 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $6 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $8 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-14.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 19 -14.0% -22.2% 58% 37% -27.8%
≤30d 19 -14.0% -22.2% 58% 37% -27.8%
≤90d 368 -5.8% -14.8% 54% 45% -14.8%
all 387 -6.0% -14.9% 53% 45% -13.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.9% 45% -13.5%
10% -23.1% 30% -21.8%
15% -30.5% 21% -29.3%
20% -37.3% 16% -36.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1313 history records