Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:32:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F0
0xf006…bf1e
sports · 809 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$677 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$688 · open +$11
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$45
Realized−$688
Unrealized+$11
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses358 / 448
Est. fees paid−$153
Open positions3
Markets (closed)806 / 809
History coverage128d
Avg bet$25
Trades / day8.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 3 History 806 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$54
7 days+$173
14 days−$657
30 days−$347
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 20¢ 46¢ $10 $23 +$13 (+132%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Aurora Gaming 45¢ 100¢ $10 $22 +$12 (+122%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Aurora Gaming 41¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 THUNDER dOWNUNDER 25¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner DN SOOPers 40¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner JD Gaming 41¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Dplus KIA 43¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner JD Gaming 36¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
LoL: GIANTX vs Solary - Game 2 Winner Solary 42¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster Challengers 33¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner BIG 53¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 1 Winner BNK FearX Youth 36¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner Nongshim Red Force 32¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner Nongshim Red Force 22¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 2 Winner Hanwha Life Esports Challengers 57¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Sentinels - Game 3 Winner Sentinels 52¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
LoL: Supernova vs Citadel Gaming - Game 1 Winner Citadel Gaming 45¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner JD Gaming 29¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: LYON vs Disguised - Game 1 Winner Disguised 40¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest - Game 3 Winner Sentinels 48¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winner Team Secret Whales 22¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner JD Gaming 21¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winner FlyQuest 39¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner DN SOOPers 28¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
LoL: DRX vs OKSavingsBank BRION (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-In OKSavingsBank BRION 44¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $13 −$13 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $25 +$22 +86%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $32 +$23 +70%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $23 −$23 -99%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $20 +$32 +158%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $25 +$18 +72%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali Jun 11 $17 −$17 -98%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $43 +$20 +45%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $10 −$9 -98%
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $9 +$32 +344%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $20 −$20 -98%
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $9 +$27 +291%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $11 −$11 -98%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $16 −$16 -98%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $50 +$32 +65%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $22 −$22 -98%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $20 −$20 -98%
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $30 +$13 +43%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $29 +$20 +68%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $25 +$22 +86%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $23 −$23 -98%
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $11 −$11 -98%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $52 +$21 +40%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 10 $36 −$5 -14%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $26 −$26 -98%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $50 +$36 +73%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $51 −$50 -99%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $20 −$20 -99%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs GOAL - Game 2 Winner Jun 09 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $20 +$14 +73%
LoL: CITA Kaizen vs Partizan Sangal - Game 2 Winner Jun 09 $14 −$14 -98%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $21 −$21 -99%
LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M - Game 1 Winner Jun 09 $34 +$17 +51%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $10 +$11 +109%
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & Jun 09 $20 +$34 +168%
LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $11 −$11 -98%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $18 +$26 +140%
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $24 −$24 -98%
LoL: FN Esports vs Verdant (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage Jun 08 $68 +$8 +12%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $20 +$19 +93%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $30 +$21 +70%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $20 +$20 +97%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $10 −$10 -98%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $8 −$8 -98%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 08 $20 +$24 +119%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $12 +$12 +101%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% −$572
crypto 1% −$125
other 0% +$39
world 0% −$20
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 41¢ $14 58m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 45¢ $10 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 20¢ $10 1h
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner BUY E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 28¢ $10 3h
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner BUY E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 22¢ $13 4h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 54¢ $23 6h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 53¢ $25 8h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 58¢ $32 9h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $20 19h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali BUY LOUD 33¢ $17 20h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 2 Winner SELL LOS 96¢ $63 20h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 2 Winner BUY LOS 65¢ $43 21h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 1 Winner BUY LOUD 60¢ $8 22h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 1 Winner BUY LOUD 56¢ $16 22h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 39¢ $10 24h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winner BUY Vivo Keyd Stars 24¢ $20 24h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken - Game 1 Winner BUY Forsaken 39¢ $11 26h
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 Winner BUY UCAM Esports Club 22¢ $9 27h
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 2 Winner BUY G2 NORD 25¢ $10 27h
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY BOMBA Team 28¢ $16 27h
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 Winner BUY UCAM Esports Club 25¢ $9 28h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner BUY B8 37¢ $22 29h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY MOUZ 60¢ $50 31h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S BUY TheMongolz 50¢ $20 32h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 46¢ $23 43h
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY LOS 69¢ $30 44h
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY paiN Gaming 35¢ $11 46h
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 2 Winner BUY LOUD 45¢ $12 47h
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 2 Winner BUY LOUD 46¢ $5 47h
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 2 Winner SELL Fluxo W7M 42¢ $12 47h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-14.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 82 -6.5% -15.4% 46% 46% -0.5%
≤30d 320 -10.8% -19.3% 41% 40% -13.6%
≤90d 633 -9.5% -18.1% 42% 41% -16.5%
all 806 -5.6% -14.6% 44% 44% -12.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.6% 44% -12.5%
10% -22.8% 43% -20.8%
15% -30.2% 41% -28.5%
20% -37.1% 38% -35.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $45.48 · official $45.48 (match) · 1276 history records