Wallet analysis

2026-06-25T22:16:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4.5
score
F0 0xf006…20c5 sports 5 markets active 2h ago coverage 1d
RISKYcopy with care sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real! high turnover
Total PnL +$134 (+19%) realized +$134 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +12% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -7% what you keep after slip
Net edge-7%after slip
Net WR40%break-even
Win rate60%3W / 2L
Drawdown39%max
Avg bet$142per market
Trades / day14.3pace
Fees−$19est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 100% +$116
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)+0.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 +11.5% +0.8% 60% 40% +5.2%
≤30d 5 +11.5% +0.8% 60% 40% +5.2%
≤90d 5 +11.5% +0.8% 60% 40% +5.2%
all 5 +11.5% +0.8% 60% 40% +5.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover14.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +0.8% 40% +5.2%
10% -8.8% 40% -4.8%
15% -17.6% 40% -14.0%
20% -25.7% 40% -22.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 49% · top 2 93% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +16% too few recent
Fragile wins
33% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +11% · $-wt +16% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
1.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$75 vs −$55 · ×1.37 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×2.05 per $1 lost it wins $2.05
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$134
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses3 / 2
Est. fees paid−$19
Open positions0
Markets (closed)5 / 5
History coverage1d
Avg bet$142
Trades / day14.3
Drawdown39%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 5 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 3.5 Jun 25 $197 +$17 +8%
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs TEAM VISION - Game 2 Winner Jun 25 $66 −$65 -98%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner Jun 25 $152 +$112 +74%
Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 24 $197 −$46 -23%
Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 24 $100 +$98 +98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 58¢ $0 1h
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 59¢ $214 1h
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 53¢ $197 2h
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs TEAM VISION - Game 2 Winner BUY Virtus.pro 3¢ $1 5h
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs TEAM VISION - Game 2 Winner BUY Virtus.pro 5¢ $1 5h
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs TEAM VISION - Game 2 Winner BUY Virtus.pro 11¢ $10 5h
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs TEAM VISION - Game 2 Winner BUY Virtus.pro 18¢ $3 5h
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs TEAM VISION - Game 2 Winner BUY Virtus.pro 30¢ $51 5h
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner SELL Nigma Galaxy 68¢ $264 10h
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner BUY Nigma Galaxy 38¢ $152 10h
Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 9.5 Total Corners SELL Over 99¢ $41 22h
Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 9.5 Total Corners SELL Over 31¢ $110 22h
Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Over 48¢ $197 24h
Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 9.5 Total Corners SELL Over 100¢ $198 25h
Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Over 50¢ $100 26h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 15 history records