Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:00:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F0
0xf012…7354
crypto · 594 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$5,649 -19%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4,814 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$4,814
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses295 / 299
Whale WR (big bets)40%
Est. fees paid−$19
Open positions0
Markets (closed)594 / 594
History coverage43d
Avg bet$51
Trades / day70.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 594 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$180
7 days−$277
14 days−$1,125
30 days−$2,254
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Up 60¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+68%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $103 −$103 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $78 +$20 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $60 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $26 +$26 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $52 +$51 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $26 +$17 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 10 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$4 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 10 $6 +$17 +276%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 10 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$4 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 10 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$6 +194%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 10 $3 +$9 +307%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 10 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 10 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 08 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 08 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 06 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 06 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 06 $2 +$3 +150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 06 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 06 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 06 $4 +$3 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 06 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 06 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 06 $5 +$9 +178%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 06 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 06 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 06 $105 −$105 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 06 $156 −$156 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 06 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 06 $416 −$416 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 06 $516 −$516 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 06 $210 −$210 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 06 $514 +$239 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 06 $312 +$288 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 06 $311 −$311 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 06 $103 +$68 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 06 $53 −$53 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 06 $156 −$156 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 93% −$4,232
sports 7% −$582
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET SELL Down 88¢ $47 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET SELL Down 88¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET SELL Down 88¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET SELL Down 88¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET SELL Down 88¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET SELL Down 88¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET SELL Down 88¢ $38 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Down 88¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Down 88¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Down 88¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Down 88¢ $45 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET SELL Up 88¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET SELL Up 94¢ $43 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Up 77¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Up 77¢ $23 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-13.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 26 -4.6% -13.7% 42% 38% -45.3%
≤30d 392 -1.2% -10.6% 50% 48% -20.4%
≤90d 594 -4.7% -13.8% 50% 48% -25.0%
all 594 -4.7% -13.8% 50% 48% -25.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover70.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.8% 48% -25.0%
10% ← realistic here -22.0% 45% -32.2%
15% -29.6% 39% -38.7%
20% -36.5% 33% -44.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.10 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records