Wallet analysis

2026-06-24T16:55:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
F0 0xf019…4491 crypto 83 markets active 2h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (216 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$32 (+1%) realized +$32 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -9% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -30% what you keep after slip
Net edge-30%after slip
Net WR29%break-even
Win rate64%53W / 30L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$31per market
Trades / day215.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$224
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (216 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-17.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 83 -9.0% -17.7% 64% 29% -17.5%
≤30d 83 -9.0% -17.7% 64% 29% -17.5%
≤90d 83 -9.0% -17.7% 64% 29% -17.5%
all 83 -9.0% -17.7% 64% 29% -17.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover215.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.7% 29% -17.5%
10% ← realistic here -25.6% 13% -25.4%
15% -32.7% 7% -32.6%
20% -39.3% 4% -39.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 12% · top 2 20% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -9% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
53% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -9% · $-wt -9% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -17% → late -1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$11 · ×0.17 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.31 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$32
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses53 / 30
Open positions0
Markets (closed)83 / 83
History coverage1d
Avg bet$31
Trades / day215.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 83 Trades
no open positions (5 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 24 $59 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 24 $77 −$30 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 24 $187 −$42 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 24 $297 −$19 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 24 $454 −$94 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 24 $267 +$7 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 24 $114 +$12 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 24 $10 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 24 $26 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 24 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 24 $2 +$1 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 24 $5 −$4 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 24 $21 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 24 $10 −$4 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 24 $16 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 24 $59 −$35 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 24 $21 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 24 $10 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 24 $55 −$53 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 24 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 24 $26 +$5 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 24 $26 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 24 $10 +$3 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 24 $36 −$2 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 24 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 24 $21 −$7 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 24 $104 +$7 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 24 $126 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 24 $21 +$9 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 24 $21 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 24 $15 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 24 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 24 $21 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 24 $26 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 24 $10 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 24 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 24 $21 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 24 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 24 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 24 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 24 $31 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 24 $21 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 24 $16 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 24 $114 +$8 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 24 $3 −$2 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 23 $6 +$3 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 23 $5 −$2 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 23 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 23 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 23 $2 $0 +24%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 73¢ $48 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $48 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 75¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET SELL Up 54¢ $47 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET SELL Down 25¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $76 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET SELL Down 72¢ $76 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $68 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $69 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $109 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Down 54¢ $119 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $141 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Up 37¢ $57 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Down 38¢ $84 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Up 64¢ $99 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $105 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $211 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $205 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Down 79¢ $56 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Down 48¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 68¢ $206 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $193 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET SELL Down 45¢ $71 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 256 history records