Wallet analysis

2026-06-22T14:51:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.0
score
F0 0xf01a…edb6 crypto 13 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d
UNRELIABLEdata unreliable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover! limited sample (<25 closed)
Total PnL +$36 (+3%) realized +$36 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -13% what you keep after slip
Net edge-13%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate100%13W / 0L
Drawdown0%max
Avg bet$109per market
Trades / day15.5pace
Kalshi-fit92%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 92% +$51
other 8% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-6.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 13 +3.8% -6.1% 100% 0% -6.1%
≤30d 13 +3.8% -6.1% 100% 0% -6.1%
≤90d 13 +3.8% -6.1% 100% 0% -6.1%
all 13 +3.8% -6.1% 100% 0% -6.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover15.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -6.1% 0% -6.1%
10% -15.1% 0% -15.0%
15% -23.3% 0% -23.3%
20% -30.8% 0% -30.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 19% · top 2 35% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +4% · $-wt +4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +2% → late +5% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$4 vs — no data
Profit factor
— no data
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$36
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses13 / 0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)13 / 13
History coverage1d
Avg bet$109
Trades / day15.5
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit92%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 13 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 22 $125 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 22 $126 +$10 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 22 $127 +$9 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 22 $125 +$4 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 22 $100 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 22 $101 +$9 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 22 $100 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 21 $111 +$2 +2%
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21? Jun 21 $108 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 21 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 21 $100 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 21 $100 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 21 $100 +$1 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $125 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $126 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $136 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $127 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $125 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $100 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $110 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $101 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $100 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $112 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $111 16h
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21? BUY No 97¢ $108 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $100 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $100 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 25h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.