trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | -6.1% | -15.0% | 25% | 25% | -78.1% |
| ≤30d | 10 | -12.5% | -20.9% | 20% | 20% | -76.3% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -12.5% | -20.9% | 20% | 20% | -76.3% |
| all | 10 | -12.5% | -20.9% | 20% | 20% | -76.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -20.9% | 20% | -76.3% |
| 10% | -28.4% | 20% | -78.6% |
| 15% | -35.4% | 10% | -80.6% |
| 20% | -41.7% | 10% | -82.5% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 30% | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by betw | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | Jun 12 | $2 | $0 | -6% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? | Jun 12 | $1 | +$1 | +127% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | +33% |
| Spread: Spurs (-6.5) | Jun 11 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 11 | $23 | −$23 | -100% |
| Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 04 | $1 | $0 | -38% |
| Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 04 | $1 | $0 | -38% |