Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T08:38:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
F0 0xf01b…df46 crypto 37 markets active 19h ago coverage 2d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (192 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ profit hinges on one bet (luck, not edge)✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$3 (+1%) realized +$3 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR24%break-even
Win rate38%14W / 23L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$8per market
Trades / day191.9pace
Fees−$2est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 51% +$10
crypto 49% −$24
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (192 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-11.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 37 -2.0% -11.4% 38% 24% -14.1%
≤30d 37 -2.0% -11.4% 38% 24% -14.1%
≤90d 37 -2.0% -11.4% 38% 24% -14.1%
all 37 -2.0% -11.4% 38% 24% -14.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover191.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.4% 24% -14.1%
10% ← realistic here -19.8% 8% -22.3%
15% -27.6% 3% -29.8%
20% -34.7% 3% -36.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 62% · top 2 71% profit hinges on 1 bet — luck, not edge
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
36% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -9% → late +5% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$2 · ×1.1 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.67 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses14 / 23
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)37 / 37
History coverage2d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day191.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 37 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -23%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -37%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $21 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 -1%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $45 −$13 -29%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $8 $0 -0%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $22 +$3 +12%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 13 $22 $0 +1%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $15 $0 -2%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $4 +$18 +511%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$5 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +11%
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) Jun 12 $6 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Up 41¢ $1 18h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 18h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Up 33¢ $1 19h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 19h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Down 45¢ $1 19h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $2 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Down 56¢ $2 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 51¢ $2 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Down 51¢ $2 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET SELL Up 49¢ $2 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 52¢ $4 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 52¢ $4 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $4 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $4 43h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 66¢ $7 43h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 100¢ $0 44h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 71¢ $7 44h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 74¢ $0 44h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 74¢ $0 44h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Team WE 26¢ $7 44h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 324 history records