trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 18 | -24.3% | -31.5% | 11% | 11% | -24.6% |
| ≤30d | 18 | -24.3% | -31.5% | 11% | 11% | -24.6% |
| ≤90d | 18 | -24.3% | -31.5% | 11% | 11% | -24.6% |
| all | 18 | -24.3% | -31.5% | 11% | 11% | -24.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -31.5% | 11% | -24.6% |
| 10% | -38.1% | 6% | -31.8% |
| 15% | -44.0% | 0% | -38.4% |
| 20% | -49.5% | 0% | -44.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 27? | No | 75¢ | 100¢ | $66 | $88 | +$22 (+34%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 27? | No | 66¢ | 96¢ | $49 | $71 | +$22 (+45%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 27? | No | 73¢ | 92¢ | $40 | $50 | +$10 (+26%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 27? | No | 63¢ | 52¢ | $28 | $23 | −$5 (-18%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 27? | No | 61¢ | 60¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 27? | Jun 27 | $28 | −$17 | -60% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 27? | Jun 27 | $37 | −$8 | -23% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 27? | Jun 27 | $89 | +$10 | +11% |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 26? | Jun 26 | $4 | −$1 | -19% |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 37°C on June 26? | Jun 26 | $6 | −$1 | -19% |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 26? | Jun 26 | $11 | −$1 | -11% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 26? | Jun 26 | $6 | +$1 | +24% |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on June 26? | Jun 26 | $8 | −$1 | -8% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 26? | Jun 26 | $10 | −$1 | -14% |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 26? | Jun 26 | $19 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 26? | Jun 26 | $15 | −$2 | -16% |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on June 26? | Jun 26 | $9 | −$8 | -99% |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 26? | Jun 26 | $6 | −$1 | -11% |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 26? | Jun 26 | $8 | −$4 | -56% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 26? | Jun 26 | $6 | −$3 | -44% |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 26? | Jun 26 | $26 | −$10 | -38% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 26? | Jun 26 | $4 | $0 | -3% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $1 | $0 | -48% |