Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:02:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F0
0xf01e…51cb
other · 183 markets active 5h ago
0.0score
−$91 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$90 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized−$90
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)22%
Wins / losses40 / 139
Est. fees paid−$10
Open positions4
Markets (closed)179 / 183
History coverage33d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day102.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit51%
Chart Positions 4 History 179 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$78
7 days−$130
14 days−$83
30 days−$82
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Yes 6¢ 6¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-4%)
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 6¢ 6¢ $1 $2 +$0 (+18%)
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 6¢ 10¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+53%)
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $3 $1 −$2 (-69%)
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -75%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on June 12? Jun 12 $29 −$2 -6%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 13? Jun 12 $40 −$24 -61%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 12? Jun 12 $33 −$3 -10%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 14, 2026? Jun 12 $0 $0 -27%
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Jun 12 $1 $0 -35%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $1 +$7 +552%
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 9? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 9? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 11? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 9? Jun 12 $0 $0 -52%
Will Trump say "Los Angeles" or "LA" during Tele-Rally? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs STEP (BO3) - United21 Playoffs Jun 12 $91 −$2 -2%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 12 $40 −$16 -41%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 12 $38 −$22 -60%
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from June 5 to June Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from June 5 to June Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on June 11? Jun 11 $3 −$2 -52%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 11? Jun 11 $14 +$1 +4%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on Ju Jun 11 $5 −$1 -12%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 32°C on June 11? Jun 11 $2 −$1 -37%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 11? Jun 11 $5 −$1 -26%
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from June 5 to June 12, Jun 11 $3 −$3 -88%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on Jun Jun 10 $46 −$2 -5%
Will Serena Williams Win Return Doubles Match at HSBC Championships? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -71%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 09 $11 $0 -4%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $10 −$8 -73%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $21 −$6 -27%
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election Jun 09 $19 $0 -2%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $11 +$10 +90%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 9? Jun 09 $28 $0 +1%
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from June 2 to June Jun 09 $4 −$3 -76%
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from June 2 to June Jun 09 $2 +$4 +183%
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from June 2 to June 9, Jun 09 $5 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 8? Jun 08 $125 −$2 -2%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? Jun 08 $13 −$8 -62%
Will Karen Bass finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angele Jun 08 $2 −$1 -68%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 8? Jun 08 $97 −$1 -1%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 8? Jun 08 $44 −$4 -9%
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? Jun 07 $1 +$2 +171%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on Ju Jun 07 $44 −$3 -6%
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 7? Jun 07 $51 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on Jun Jun 07 $26 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on Ju Jun 06 $54 −$4 -8%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on Ju Jun 06 $36 −$8 -22%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026? Jun 06 $16 −$4 -27%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026? Jun 06 $30 −$6 -21%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 6? Jun 06 $30 −$6 -21%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026? Jun 06 $23 +$5 +20%
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026? Jun 06 $10 $0 -5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 44% +$179
weather 22% −$86
world 12% −$50
sports 11% −$92
finance 8% −$32
politics 2% −$6
crypto 0% −$6
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 5h
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 5h
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 5h
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 5h
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 5h
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 5h
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 5h
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 5h
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 6h
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 6h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on June 12? SELL No 90¢ $27 7h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on June 12? BUY No 95¢ $28 7h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on June 12? BUY No 95¢ $0 7h
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 13? SELL Yes 32¢ $16 7h
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 12? SELL Yes 80¢ $9 9h
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 12? BUY Yes 86¢ $10 9h
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 12? SELL No 5¢ $3 9h
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 12? BUY No 8¢ $0 9h
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 12? BUY No 8¢ $4 9h
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 12? SELL Yes 86¢ $18 9h
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 12? BUY Yes 90¢ $9 9h
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 12? BUY Yes 90¢ $9 9h
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 13? BUY Yes 80¢ $40 9h
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 14, 2026? SELL Yes 16¢ $0 10h
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 14, 2026? BUY Yes 22¢ $0 10h
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $1 12h
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 12h
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 12h
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 14h
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY Yes 5¢ $1 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-1.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 49 -13.9% -22.1% 18% 10% -20.5%
≤30d 163 +7.1% -3.1% 21% 16% -11.4%
≤90d 179 +8.7% -1.7% 22% 17% -11.4%
all 179 +8.7% -1.7% 22% 17% -11.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover102.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -1.7% 17% -11.4%
10% ← realistic here -11.1% 15% -19.9%
15% -19.7% 12% -27.7%
20% -27.6% 11% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.20 · official $6.20 (match) · 3500 history records