Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:54:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F0
0xf023…8e33
crypto · 862 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3,092 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,087 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$3,087
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses337 / 523
Whale WR (big bets)29%
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions1
Markets (closed)860 / 862
History coverage84d
Avg bet$60
Trades / day34.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 860 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$236
7 days−$14,294
14 days−$6,898
30 days−$3,616
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24? Yes 57¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 20, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 20, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 23, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 21, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - March 21, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 20, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 23, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 10? No 25¢ 0¢ $308 $0 −$308 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 20, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$2 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$11 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$18 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$11 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET Jun 12 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -39%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $13 −$13 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$13 +252%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$11 +111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$11 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$8 +144%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $35 +$95 +276%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $32 +$23 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +113%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $87 −$69 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$16 +309%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $105 +$4 +4%
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $201 +$74 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +41%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$3,058
world 1% −$98
sports 0% −$28
other 0% +$92
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Down 11¢ $7 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $5 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $5 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET SELL Down 3¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET SELL Down 3¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET SELL Down 3¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Up 73¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $5 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 399 -38.4% -44.2% 27% 25% -47.3%
≤30d 674 -1.2% -10.6% 39% 37% -18.1%
≤90d 860 +0.2% -9.3% 39% 38% -16.4%
all 860 +0.2% -9.3% 39% 38% -16.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover34.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.3% 38% -16.4%
10% ← realistic here -18.0% 35% -24.4%
15% -25.9% 34% -31.7%
20% -33.2% 29% -38.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.04 (match) · 3500 history records