Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:12:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F0
0xf02f…1ed8
sports · 430 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,372 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$799 · open −$573
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4,685
Realized−$799
Unrealized−$573
Win rate (resolved)31%
Wins / losses214 / 478
Whale WR (big bets)58%
Est. fees paid−$3,070
Open positions16
Markets (closed)692 / 430
History coverage9d
Avg bet$525
Trades / day374.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 16 History 692 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$76,110
7 days−$32,311
14 days−$799
30 days−$799
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees New York Yankees 53¢ 52¢ $1,298 $1,252 −$46 (-4%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BetBoom Team 38¢ 38¢ $799 $789 −$11 (-1%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Atlanta Braves 52¢ 46¢ $864 $756 −$108 (-12%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees Tampa Bay Rays 43¢ 38¢ $532 $476 −$56 (-10%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox 57¢ 42¢ $502 $374 −$128 (-25%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Athletics 41¢ 42¢ $250 $261 +$11 (+4%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds St. Louis Cardinals 48¢ 40¢ $301 $248 −$53 (-18%)
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Chicago Cubs 48¢ 96¢ $100 $202 +$101 (+101%)
Will Reid Detmers strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season? No 98¢ 99¢ $102 $103 +$1 (+1%)
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Lotte Giants Hanwha Eagles 39¢ 53¢ $49 $66 +$17 (+35%)
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5) Boston Red Sox 36¢ 26¢ $82 $58 −$24 (-29%)
KBO: LG Twins vs. Samsung Lions LG Twins 53¢ 53¢ $49 $49 +$0 (+0%)
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No 89¢ 94¢ $21 $22 +$1 (+6%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Tampa Bay Rays 61¢ 8¢ $100 $12 −$88 (-88%)
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants 52¢ 4¢ $100 $7 −$94 (-93%)
T20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka Sri Lanka 52¢ 78¢ $4 $7 +$2 (+51%)
Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027? Yes 10¢ 18¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+74%)
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals 57¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+75%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 208.5 Over 68¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+47%)
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Legacy 64¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+56%)
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles? No 90¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+11%)
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+1.5) Hanwha Life Esports 67¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+49%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox 50¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+99%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5 Under 29¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+239%)
Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Como 1907 end in a draw? Yes 23¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $0 +$504 +252326%
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+1.5) Jun 13 $0 +$218 +255526%
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 13 $0 +$1,604 +2805000%
Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Como 1907 end in a draw? Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Sport Boys Association win on 2026-03-22? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Sta Jun 13 $3,000 −$3,000 -100%
Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-04-18? Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Hurricanes vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $89 −$89 -100%
Jazz vs. Suns: O/U 233.5 Jun 13 $150 −$150 -100%
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-22? Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-03-21? Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Credit One Charleston Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Belinda Bencic Jun 13 $607 −$607 -100%
RCD Mallorca vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $426 −$426 -100%
Portland Timbers vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $91 −$91 -100%
Will Portugal win on 2026-03-31? Jun 13 $155 −$155 -100%
Magic vs. Cavaliers Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Spread: Lakers (-3.5) Jun 13 $248 −$248 -100%
Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5) Jun 13 $24 −$24 -100%
Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-05-08? Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Seattle Mariners vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 13 $569 −$569 -100%
LoL: Team Vitality vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season Jun 13 $1,000 −$1,000 -100%
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 13 $99 −$99 -100%
Zagreb: Nerman Fatic vs Elmer Moeller Jun 13 $53 −$53 -100%
Spread: Magic (-7.5) Jun 13 $873 −$873 -100%
Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-05? Jun 13 $73 −$73 -100%
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-04-24? Jun 13 $670 −$670 -100%
Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-05-06? Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Tallahassee: Daniil Glinka vs Stefan Dostanic Jun 13 $48 −$48 -100%
Bulls vs. Lakers: O/U 238.5 Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Spread: Senators (-1.5) Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Abidjan: Gauthier Onclin vs Mert Alkaya Jun 13 $635 −$637 -100%
Geneva Open: Raphael Collignon vs Casper Ruud Jun 13 $200 −$200 -100%
Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5) Jun 13 $201 −$201 -100%
VfB Stuttgart vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $292 −$292 -100%
Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5) Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
CD Santa Clara vs. Vitória SC: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $56 −$56 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $200 −$200 -100%
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Naples: Matteo Martineau vs Michele Ribecai Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Will FC Annecy win on 2026-04-24? Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Dota 2: LiXO eSports vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - European Pro League Group A Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Hornets vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5 Jun 13 $501 −$501 -100%
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-04-22? Jun 13 $94 −$94 -100%
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-04-22? Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Morelos: Tyler Zink vs Miguel Tobon Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Devin Booker: Points O/U 24.5 Jun 13 $47 −$47 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 95% +$78,004
other 4% +$1,881
crypto 1% +$420
culture 0% +$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 33¢ $104 24m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 32¢ $20 24m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 32¢ $18 24m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 31¢ $5 24m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 31¢ $5 24m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY BetBoom Team 38¢ $97 37m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY BetBoom Team 38¢ $100 37m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY BetBoom Team 38¢ $100 37m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY BetBoom Team 38¢ $100 37m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY BetBoom Team 38¢ $100 37m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY BetBoom Team 38¢ $100 37m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY BetBoom Team 38¢ $100 37m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY BetBoom Team 38¢ $50 37m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY BetBoom Team 38¢ $2 37m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY BetBoom Team 38¢ $1 39m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY BetBoom Team 38¢ $2 44m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY BetBoom Team 38¢ $1 44m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY BetBoom Team 38¢ $8 44m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY BetBoom Team 38¢ $2 44m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY BetBoom Team 38¢ $3 44m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY BetBoom Team 38¢ $2 44m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY BetBoom Team 38¢ $1 46m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY BetBoom Team 38¢ $1 47m
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 12.5 BUY Over 21¢ $10 47m
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 12.5 BUY Over 21¢ $10 47m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY BetBoom Team 38¢ $2 48m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY BetBoom Team 38¢ $26 49m
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY Minnesota Twins 15¢ $5 1h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY Minnesota Twins 16¢ $5 1h
Spread: United States (-1.5) SELL United States 100¢ $144 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-27.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 612 -39.1% -44.9% 23% 21% -28.1%
≤30d 692 -19.5% -27.1% 31% 29% -11.6%
≤90d 692 -19.5% -27.1% 31% 29% -11.6%
all 692 -19.5% -27.1% 31% 29% -11.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover374.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -27.1% 29% -11.6%
10% ← realistic here -34.1% 28% -20.0%
15% -40.5% 25% -27.8%
20% -46.3% 23% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4,685.12 · official $4,682.30 (match) · 3500 history records