Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T12:22:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
F0 0xf039…7cf1 crypto 1066 markets active 2h ago coverage 28d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (101 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$1,777 (+8%) realized +$1,777 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -20% what you keep after slip
Net edge-20%after slip
Net WR44%break-even
Win rate46%462W / 547L
Drawdown24%max
Avg bet$20per market
Trades / day100.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$575
7 days+$663
14 days+$1,113
30 days+$2,035
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$2,016
other 0% +$19
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (101 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-6.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 147 +12.9% +2.1% 46% 45% +11.6%
≤30d 1009 +3.3% -6.5% 46% 44% -0.2%
≤90d 1009 +3.3% -6.5% 46% 44% -0.2%
all 1009 +3.3% -6.5% 46% 44% -0.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover100.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.5% 44% -0.2%
10% ← realistic here -15.5% 44% -9.7%
15% -23.6% 43% -18.5%
20% -31.1% 40% -26.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +10% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
3% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +3% · $-wt +10% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late +9% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$24 vs −$16 · ×1.45 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×1.23 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

28d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,777
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses462 / 547
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1009 / 1066
History coverage28d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day100.7
Drawdown24%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1009 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 28 $61 −$58 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 28 $48 −$46 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 28 $20 +$9 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 28 $50 +$69 +136%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 28 $24 −$23 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 28 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 28 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 28 $42 +$51 +123%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 28 $24 +$34 +142%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 28 $34 +$19 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 28 $31 +$31 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 28 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 28 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 28 $10 +$14 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 28 $26 +$29 +111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 28 $10 +$23 +218%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 28 $10 +$10 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 28 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 28 $4 +$14 +331%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 28 $4 +$4 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 28 $31 −$30 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 28 $50 −$9 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 28 $50 +$41 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 28 $26 +$27 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 28 $26 −$15 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 28 $42 +$37 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 28 $46 +$56 +120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 28 $13 −$12 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 28 $21 +$16 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 28 $5 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 28 $31 +$45 +144%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 28 $21 +$26 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 28 $12 +$21 +179%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 28 $10 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 28 $11 +$48 +456%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 28 $6 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 28 $16 +$19 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 28 $21 +$18 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 28 $12 −$11 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 28 $35 −$34 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 28 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 28 $40 +$21 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 28 $42 +$52 +126%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 28 $33 −$31 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 28 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 28 $38 +$5 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 28 $10 −$10 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET SELL Down 85¢ $115 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $21 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3310 history records