Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:01:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F0
0xf03c…0be9
crypto · 1150 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$295 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$295 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$295
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses568 / 887
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1455 / 1150
History coverage32d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day96.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1455 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$656
7 days−$675
14 days−$472
30 days−$204
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$2 -182%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 16, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on February 20? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 21, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -48%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$2 -259%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$3 -85%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -301%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$279
world 0% $0
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET SELL Up 35¢ $28 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $5 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $5 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $5 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $5 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET SELL Up 44¢ $37 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $10 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $10 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $10 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $10 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $10 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET SELL Up 23¢ $17 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $7 30m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-30.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 712 -43.5% -48.9% 28% 25% -13.8%
≤30d 1267 -24.9% -32.0% 38% 34% -9.8%
≤90d 1455 -23.0% -30.4% 39% 35% -10.2%
all 1455 -23.0% -30.4% 39% 35% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover96.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -30.4% 35% -10.2%
10% ← realistic here -37.0% 31% -18.8%
15% -43.1% 25% -26.7%
20% -48.7% 22% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records