trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 21 | +83.0% | +65.5% | 33% | 33% | +6.7% |
| ≤30d | 22 | +74.7% | +58.0% | 32% | 32% | +4.4% |
| ≤90d | 22 | +74.7% | +58.0% | 32% | 32% | +4.4% |
| all | 24 | +67.0% | +51.1% | 29% | 29% | -14.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +51.1% | 29% | -14.3% |
| 10% | +36.7% | 29% | -22.5% |
| 15% | +23.5% | 29% | -30.0% |
| 20% | +11.4% | 29% | -36.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Yes | 24¢ | 34¢ | $24 | $34 | +$10 (+40%) |
| Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | Yes | 24¢ | 24¢ | $24 | $24 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18? | Yes | 16¢ | 14¢ | $22 | $20 | −$2 (-9%) |
| Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | Yes | 11¢ | 7¢ | $21 | $13 | −$8 (-36%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | Jun 18 | $22 | −$4 | -19% |
| Exact Score: Czechia 1 - 1 South Africa? | Jun 18 | $21 | +$146 | +711% |
| Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $57 | +$196 | +343% |
| Exact Score: Czechia 2 - 2 South Africa? | Jun 18 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 18 | $595 | −$170 | -28% |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $20 | −$14 | -68% |
| Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Senegal? | Jun 16 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Senegal? | Jun 16 | $24 | −$23 | -98% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $20 | +$54 | +262% |
| Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $22 | −$16 | -76% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $88 | −$86 | -98% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $15 | +$68 | +442% |
| Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $11 | +$29 | +276% |
| Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $13 | +$87 | +650% |
| Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $11 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $9 | −$8 | -98% |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $6 | +$14 | +249% |
| Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $23 | −$22 | -97% |
| Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July? | Jun 19 | $824 | −$126 | -15% |
| TikTok banned in the US before May 2025? | Jan 21 | $1,007 | −$183 | -18% |