Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:59:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F0
0xf046…46dc
sports · 1321 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$31 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$15
Realized−$31
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses1292 / 26
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions3
Markets (closed)1318 / 1321
History coverage81d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day16.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 3 History 1318 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$0
14 days+$0
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? No 100¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Will Jose Alvarado lead the 2026 NBA Finals in total rebounds? No 100¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Yes 100¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Knicks (-11.5) Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Spread: Knicks (-10.5) Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 3 Scotland? Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Atputies (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs Gaming By Legends - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be betwe Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30? Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
BC Zenit vs. Lokomotiv Kuban Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy? Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on June 11? Jun 11 $5 $0 +0%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $5 $0 +0%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $5 $0 +0%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 10 $5 $0 +0%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 10 $5 $0 +0%
Set Handicap: Wu (-1.5) vs Boogaard (+1.5) Jun 10 $5 $0 +0%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Dewa United Esports vs Geek Fam ID - Game 3 Jun 10 $5 $0 +0%
Will Serena Williams Win Return Doubles Match at HSBC Championships? Jun 09 $5 $0 +0%
ITF Kayseri: Irina Khayndrava vs Defne Aydemir Jun 09 $5 $0 +0%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5 Jun 09 $5 $0 +0%
Spread: Atlético Nacional (-2.5) Jun 09 $5 $0 +0%
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5 Jun 08 $5 $0 +0%
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8? Jun 08 $5 $0 +0%
Set Handicap: Fokina (-1.5) vs Bellucci (+1.5) Jun 08 $5 $0 +0%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 08 $5 $0 +0%
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. San Jun 07 $5 $0 +0%
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) Jun 07 $5 $0 +0%
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies Jun 07 $5 $0 +0%
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Cobolli (+1.5) Jun 07 $5 $0 +0%
ITF Caserta: Federica Urgesi vs Alessandra Mazzola Jun 07 $5 $0 +0%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Spirit vs Verso Time - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $5 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $5 $0 +0%
Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Riyadh Falcons (BO5) - Call of Duty Leagu Jun 07 $5 $0 +0%
Athletics vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5 Jun 06 $5 $0 +0%
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5) Jun 06 $5 $0 +0%
WTT - Men's Singles: Simon Gauzy vs Kanak Jha Jun 06 $5 $0 +0%
ITF Banja Luka: Ella Haavisto vs Lucie Petruzelova Jun 06 $5 $0 +0%
ITF Banja Luka: Mirjana Jovanovic vs Allegra Korpanec Davies Jun 06 $5 $0 +0%
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Mensik (+2.5) Jun 05 $5 $0 +0%
FDA approves Vepdegestrant? Jun 05 $5 $0 +0%
ITF Caserta: Dalila Spiteri vs Francesca Pace Jun 04 $5 $0 +0%
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali Jun 04 $5 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 62% −$28
weather 18% −$4
other 14% +$1
finance 2% $0
crypto 2% $0
tech 2% $0
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY Yes 100¢ $5 54m
Will Jose Alvarado lead the 2026 NBA Finals in total rebounds? BUY No 100¢ $5 1h
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY No 100¢ $5 1h
Spread: Knicks (-10.5) BUY Spurs 100¢ $5 1h
Spread: Knicks (-11.5) BUY Spurs 100¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 3 Scotland? BUY No 100¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Atputies (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY Metizport 100¢ $5 17h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? BUY Yes 100¢ $5 17h
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs Gaming By Legends - Map 2 Winner BUY BASEMENT BOYS 100¢ $5 19h
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) BUY Milwaukee Brewers 100¢ $5 27h
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day BUY No 100¢ $5 31h
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY Yes 100¢ $5 31h
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on BUY No 100¢ $5 32h
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30? BUY Yes 100¢ $5 32h
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on BUY Yes 100¢ $5 32h
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on BUY No 100¢ $5 32h
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on BUY No 100¢ $5 32h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? BUY Yes 100¢ $5 32h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? BUY No 100¢ $5 32h
BC Zenit vs. Lokomotiv Kuban BUY Lokomotiv Kuban 100¢ $5 39h
Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy? BUY Yes 100¢ $5 2d
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on June 11? BUY Yes 100¢ $5 2d
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) BUY Mexico 100¢ $5 2d
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 1 Winner BUY G2 NORD 100¢ $5 2d
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians BUY New York Yankees 100¢ $5 3d
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays BUY Tampa Bay Rays 100¢ $5 3d
Set Handicap: Wu (-1.5) vs Boogaard (+1.5) BUY Boogaard 100¢ $5 3d
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Dewa United Esports vs Geek Fam ID - Game 3 BUY Geek Fam ID 100¢ $5 3d
Will Serena Williams Win Return Doubles Match at HSBC Championships? BUY Yes 100¢ $5 4d
ITF Kayseri: Irina Khayndrava vs Defne Aydemir BUY Defne Aydemir 100¢ $5 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-10.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 40 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤30d 256 +0.1% -9.4% 97% 0% -9.4%
≤90d 1318 -0.5% -10.0% 98% 0% -10.0%
all 1318 -0.5% -10.0% 98% 0% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover16.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.0% 0% -10.0%
10% -18.6% 0% -18.6%
15% -26.4% 0% -26.4%
20% -33.6% 0% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $14.99 · official $14.99 (match) · 2652 history records