Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:05:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F0
0xf04d…9c34
sports · 14 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$30 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$30 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$0
Realized−$30
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses9 / 5
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)14 / 14
History coverage1d
Avg bet$27
Trades / day29.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 14 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$30
7 days−$30
14 days−$30
30 days−$30
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $91 −$48 -52%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $5 −$1 -23%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $40 +$4 +10%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $50 +$4 +8%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $20 −$5 -23%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $60 +$5 +8%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $30 +$1 +4%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $56 +$4 +7%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $9 $0 -5%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $5 +$1 +17%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $6 $0 -2%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $3 +$2 +55%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $4 +$2 +55%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$30
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner SELL Aurora Gaming 47¢ $21 1m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 65¢ $30 13m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner SELL Spirit 29¢ $22 22m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Spirit 68¢ $4 25m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 78¢ $60 39m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner SELL Vitality 99¢ $44 42m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL BetBoom Team 99¢ $22 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 91¢ $20 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner SELL BetBoom Team 66¢ $16 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 84¢ $20 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL BetBoom Team 60¢ $0 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Vitality 90¢ $40 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL BetBoom Team 82¢ $32 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 75¢ $30 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner SELL Natus Vincere 100¢ $65 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 92¢ $60 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner SELL Team Falcons 79¢ $31 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 75¢ $30 2h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner SELL Natus Vincere 99¢ $60 2h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 92¢ $56 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 99¢ $7 3h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 88¢ $6 3h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Monte 100¢ $6 3h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 91¢ $5 4h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 44¢ $2 4h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 69¢ $3 5h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FURIA 100¢ $6 5h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 85¢ $5 6h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 90¢ $6 6h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 91¢ $6 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-5.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 +4.9% -5.1% 64% 21% -16.7%
≤30d 14 +4.9% -5.1% 64% 21% -16.7%
≤90d 14 +4.9% -5.1% 64% 21% -16.7%
all 14 +4.9% -5.1% 64% 21% -16.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover29.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.1% 21% -16.7%
10% ← realistic here -14.2% 14% -24.7%
15% -22.5% 14% -31.9%
20% -30.1% 14% -38.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 35 history records