Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:23:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F0
0xf051…900e
sports · 205 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$46 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$17 · open −$33
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$432
Realized−$17
Unrealized−$33
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses59 / 70
Est. fees paid−$72
Open positions75
Markets (closed)129 / 205
History coverage1d
Avg bet$19
Trades / day2435.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 75 History 129 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$17
7 days−$17
14 days−$17
30 days−$17
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena Roberto Carballes Baena 80¢ 98¢ $28 $34 +$6 (+23%)
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger Ashlyn Krueger 82¢ 100¢ $25 $30 +$5 (+22%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5 Under 97¢ 97¢ $19 $19 +$0 (+0%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? No 47¢ 46¢ $19 $19 −$0 (-1%)
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Taylor Fritz 58¢ 69¢ $14 $17 +$3 (+19%)
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Amanda Anisimova 38¢ 44¢ $13 $16 +$2 (+15%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 57¢ 100¢ $9 $15 +$6 (+76%)
Spread: United States (-1.5) Paraguay 77¢ 78¢ $12 $12 +$0 (+2%)
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5 Under 77¢ 78¢ $11 $12 +$0 (+1%)
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Mattia Bellucci 38¢ 31¢ $13 $11 −$2 (-18%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BetBoom Team 50¢ 52¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+4%)
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Frances Tiafoe 34¢ 42¢ $9 $10 +$2 (+21%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Ben Shelton 46¢ 100¢ $5 $10 +$5 (+116%)
Maccabi Tel-Aviv vs. Hapoel Holon BC Maccabi Tel-Aviv 92¢ 100¢ $9 $10 +$1 (+8%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BetBoom Team 29¢ 100¢ $3 $10 +$7 (+237%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 46¢ 46¢ $9 $9 +$0 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 92¢ 90¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-3%)
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris Dane Sweeny 59¢ 58¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-2%)
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee Harmony Tan 80¢ 83¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+4%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5 Over 53¢ 54¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+2%)
Spread: Canada (-1.5) Bosnia and Herzegovina 73¢ 74¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+1%)
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 Under 53¢ 52¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne - Map 1 Winner GenOne 34¢ 100¢ $2 $5 +$3 (+194%)
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner Misa Esports 31¢ 100¢ $2 $5 +$3 (+222%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Under 79¢ 81¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+3%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bratislava: Zsombor Piros vs Taro Daniel Jun 12 $8 −$3 -37%
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Jun 12 $45 $0 +1%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $48 −$2 -5%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 12 $60 +$3 +5%
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $7 $0 +3%
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Jun 12 $30 −$10 -32%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Jun 12 $27 −$2 -8%
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan Jun 12 $35 +$1 +4%
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. LG Twins Jun 12 $2 +$3 +206%
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus Jun 12 $9 +$1 +9%
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi Jun 12 $40 +$9 +22%
ITF Zagreb: Anna-Lena Friedsam vs Gina Marie Dittmann Jun 12 $0 $0 +3%
KBO: NC Dinos vs. KT Wiz Jun 12 $4 +$4 +84%
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina Jun 12 $24 +$2 +8%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Jun 12 $36 +$9 +24%
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Jun 12 $16 −$4 -23%
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Jun 12 $35 −$8 -22%
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Jun 12 $25 +$5 +20%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $46 +$1 +3%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $28 −$3 -9%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $18 $0 +0%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $139 −$2 -2%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $24 +$1 +2%
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko Jun 12 $12 −$2 -15%
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Jun 12 $27 $0 -1%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $15 −$4 -24%
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $7 −$1 -16%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Serie Jun 12 $7 −$2 -31%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $66 −$4 -7%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $24 +$1 +4%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $64 +$18 +27%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $43 +$1 +2%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $10 $0 -1%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $83 −$8 -9%
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 12 $25 −$3 -10%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $16 −$2 -15%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 12 $36 $0 -0%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Julie Struplova vs Martha Matoula Jun 12 $11 $0 -0%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $10 −$7 -72%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $58 +$2 +4%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $34 +$8 +25%
Set 1 Winner: Rybakina vs Maria Jun 12 $5 +$3 +67%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva Jun 12 $9 −$1 -11%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $23 −$1 -6%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $43 −$9 -21%
ITF Guimaraes: Ariana Arseneault vs Katarina Kuzmova Jun 12 $4 +$1 +37%
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis Jun 12 $29 −$1 -4%
ITF Zagreb: Iva Primorac vs Dalila Jakupovic Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 12 $54 −$1 -2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 92% −$46
other 8% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley SELL Keegan Smith 70¢ $2 0m
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley SELL Keegan Smith 70¢ $1 0m
FathUnionSport vs. Maghreb AS de Fès: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 77¢ $0 0m
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Frances Tiafoe 22¢ $1 0m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Mattia Bellucci 55¢ $3 0m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova SELL Iva Jovic 77¢ $4 0m
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Jiri Lehecka 78¢ $4 0m
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe SELL Frances Tiafoe 22¢ $1 0m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova SELL Amanda Anisimova 26¢ $1 0m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 56¢ $3 1m
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley BUY Keegan Smith 71¢ $4 1m
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley SELL Keegan Smith 75¢ $3 1m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 30¢ $2 1m
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner BUY E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 34¢ $2 2m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL Team Falcons 37¢ $2 2m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova SELL Amanda Anisimova 25¢ $1 2m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 75¢ $4 2m
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Frances Tiafoe 22¢ $1 3m
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley SELL Keegan Smith 75¢ $1 3m
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Frances Tiafoe 27¢ $1 3m
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe SELL Jiri Lehecka 73¢ $7 3m
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Frances Tiafoe 27¢ $0 3m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 37¢ $2 3m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 26¢ $1 4m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova SELL Iva Jovic 74¢ $18 4m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Mattia Bellucci 59¢ $3 4m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz SELL Taylor Fritz 41¢ $2 4m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 63¢ $3 4m
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris BUY Dane Sweeny 61¢ $3 4m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 53¢ $3 4m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-22.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 129 -14.1% -22.3% 46% 25% -9.9%
≤30d 129 -14.1% -22.3% 46% 25% -9.9%
≤90d 129 -14.1% -22.3% 46% 25% -9.9%
all 129 -14.1% -22.3% 46% 25% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2435.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.3% 25% -9.9%
10% ← realistic here -29.8% 16% -18.6%
15% -36.5% 11% -26.4%
20% -42.8% 8% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $432.12 · official $430.03 (match) · 2515 history records