Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T21:49:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
F0 0xf055…4b07 crypto 923 markets active 0h ago coverage 23d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 23d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (107 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$3,973 (+8%) realized +$3,973 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR10%break-even
Win rate95%881W / 42L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$52per market
Trades / day107.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 23d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$56
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (107 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +10%
net ROI/market (all)-8.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 330 +0.3% -9.2% 98% 2% -9.2%
≤30d 923 +1.5% -8.2% 95% 10% -9.4%
≤90d 923 +1.5% -8.2% 95% 10% -9.4%
all 923 +1.5% -8.2% 95% 10% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover107.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.2% 10% -9.4%
10% ← realistic here -17.0% 4% -18.1%
15% -25.0% 2% -26.0%
20% -32.3% 2% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
89% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +7% → late -4% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$52 · ×0.05 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.03 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

23d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$3,973
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)95%
Wins / losses881 / 42
Open positions0
Markets (closed)923 / 923
History coverage23d ⚠
Avg bet$52
Trades / day107.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 923 Trades
no open positions (6 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 20 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 20 $97 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 20 $98 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 20 $95 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 20 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 20 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 20 $95 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 20 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 20 $95 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 20 $98 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 20 $99 −$99 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 20 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 20 $92 +$8 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 20 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 20 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 20 $97 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 20 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 20 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 20 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 20 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 20 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 20 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 20 $34 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 20 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 20 $98 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 20 $91 +$9 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 20 $98 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 20 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 20 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 20 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 20 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 20 $97 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 20 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 20 $90 +$10 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 20 $94 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 20 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 20 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 20 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 20 $95 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 20 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 20 $95 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 20 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 20 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 20 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 20 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 20 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 20 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 20 $95 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 20 $95 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 20 $99 +$1 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $97 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $98 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $95 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $95 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $95 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $98 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $92 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $97 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $34 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $98 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $91 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $98 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $55 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $44 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records