Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:53:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F0
0xf055…02b5
sports · 169 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
−$7,652 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$8,991 · open +$1,339
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10,839
Realized−$8,991
Unrealized+$1,339
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses75 / 81
Whale WR (big bets)55%
Est. fees paid−$670
Open positions13
Markets (closed)156 / 169
History coverage160d
Avg bet$422
Trades / day1.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit83%
Chart Positions 13 History 156 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,601
7 days−$1,217
14 days−$385
30 days−$9,870
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 46¢ 99¢ $1,000 $2,146 +$1,146 (+115%)
Spread: United States (-1.5) United States 42¢ 96¢ $500 $1,137 +$637 (+127%)
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $1,000 $1,079 +$79 (+8%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 11¢ $1,000 $1,055 +$55 (+6%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $1,000 $1,003 +$3 (+0%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $1,000 $994 −$6 (-1%)
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $1,000 $906 −$94 (-9%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $1,000 $846 −$154 (-15%)
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No 31¢ 50¢ $400 $636 +$236 (+59%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 47¢ 19¢ $1,000 $410 −$590 (-59%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Over 63¢ 56¢ $350 $308 −$42 (-12%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Over 24¢ 38¢ $150 $234 +$84 (+56%)
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 48¢ 40¢ $100 $84 −$16 (-16%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner 9z 21¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 41¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 FlyQuest 7¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27? No 54¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Will Kashima Antlers vs. FC Tōkyō end in a draw? Yes 29¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Spread: Thunder (-8.5) Spurs 47¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest - Map 2 Winner Liquid 57¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG - Map 1 Winner BIG 28¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Hannover 96 vs. 1. FC Nürnberg: O/U 3.5 Under 59¢ 0¢ $350 $0 −$350 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 42¢ 0¢ $1,000 $0 −$1,000 (-100%)
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $2,400 $0 −$2,400 (-100%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? Yes 43¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $203 −$63 -31%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $303 +$126 +42%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $303 +$120 +40%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Jun 12 $303 −$268 -88%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $1,014 −$1,000 -99%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $506 −$405 -80%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? Jun 12 $205 −$200 -98%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $202 +$101 +50%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $304 −$300 -99%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $204 −$200 -98%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $342 −$148 -43%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $679 −$665 -98%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $1,018 +$1,395 +137%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $406 +$152 +38%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $204 −$179 -88%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $204 −$200 -98%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $202 +$97 +48%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 11 $203 +$189 +93%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) Jun 11 $203 −$200 -99%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $102 −$100 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $204 −$200 -98%
Spread: Spurs (-14.5) Jun 11 $355 +$348 +98%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $204 −$200 -98%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $202 −$200 -99%
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5) Jun 08 $203 +$142 +70%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $202 +$80 +40%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $203 +$182 +90%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $202 +$126 +62%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $204 −$200 -98%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $205 −$200 -98%
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+2.5) Jun 08 $102 +$201 +197%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $203 −$200 -99%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $31 −$30 -97%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $305 +$347 +114%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 07 $203 +$175 +86%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 07 $203 +$197 +97%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $303 +$158 +52%
Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5) Jun 07 $812 +$748 +92%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 07 $203 +$205 +101%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $203 −$160 -79%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 07 $205 −$200 -98%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 07 $202 +$137 +67%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $21 −$20 -97%
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Jun 07 $31 −$25 -81%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $204 +$323 +158%
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Jun 07 $202 +$68 +34%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $225 −$111 -49%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $202 −$144 -71%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $807 −$794 -98%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $204 −$200 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 66% −$4,973
other 24% −$1,853
world 9% −$315
politics 1% −$311
tech 0% −$200
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 24¢ $153 24m
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 63¢ $354 25m
Spread: United States (-1.5) BUY United States 42¢ $509 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Aurora Gaming 34¢ $140 8h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 47¢ $203 8h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) SELL Spirit 8¢ $36 8h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $508 9h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $507 9h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $508 9h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $507 9h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Spirit 63¢ $303 9h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 48¢ $203 10h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL Team Falcons 22¢ $92 10h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? BUY Yes 43¢ $205 10h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 71¢ $303 11h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 71¢ $303 11h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 70¢ $303 13h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 55¢ $304 14h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 66¢ $202 19h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 41¢ $204 19h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 19¢ $194 23h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 32¢ $342 25h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 32¢ $679 25h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner SELL Natus Vincere 4¢ $20 30h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 37¢ $102 31h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 40¢ $102 31h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 28¢ $204 32h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 42¢ $204 32h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Team Falcons 25¢ $78 32h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 63¢ $202 36h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-21.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 66 -7.6% -16.4% 48% 48% -13.7%
≤30d 129 -17.5% -25.3% 44% 44% -27.8%
≤90d 129 -17.5% -25.3% 44% 44% -27.8%
all 156 -13.0% -21.3% 48% 47% -22.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -21.3% 47% -22.2%
10% -28.8% 44% -29.6%
15% -35.7% 40% -36.4%
20% -42.0% 35% -42.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10,839.32 · official $10,839.32 (match) · 355 history records