Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:38:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F0
0xf05a…38f3
crypto · 944 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$422 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$422 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$204
Realized−$422
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)28%
Wins / losses333 / 849
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1182 / 944
History coverage14d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day172.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1182 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$265
7 days−$289
14 days−$418
30 days−$422
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Up 9¢ 100¢ $1 $12 +$11 (+1011%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Up 23¢ 100¢ $1 $6 +$5 (+335%)
Solana Up or Down - April 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Up 28¢ 100¢ $2 $6 +$4 (+257%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Up 18¢ 100¢ $1 $6 +$5 (+456%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Down 49¢ 100¢ $3 $6 +$3 (+104%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Down 53¢ 100¢ $3 $6 +$3 (+89%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 25¢ 100¢ $1 $6 +$4 (+300%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Down 46¢ 100¢ $3 $6 +$3 (+117%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Down 39¢ 100¢ $2 $6 +$3 (+156%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Up 33¢ 100¢ $2 $6 +$4 (+203%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Down 47¢ 100¢ $3 $5 +$3 (+113%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 26¢ 100¢ $1 $5 +$4 (+285%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Down 32¢ 100¢ $2 $5 +$4 (+212%)
Solana Up or Down - April 9, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Down 33¢ 100¢ $2 $5 +$3 (+203%)
Solana Up or Down - April 8, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Up 34¢ 100¢ $2 $5 +$3 (+194%)
XRP Up or Down - April 6, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Down 32¢ 100¢ $2 $5 +$3 (+212%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Down 26¢ 100¢ $1 $5 +$4 (+285%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 31¢ 100¢ $2 $5 +$3 (+223%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Down 30¢ 100¢ $2 $5 +$4 (+233%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Down 34¢ 100¢ $2 $5 +$3 (+194%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 10, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Up 29¢ 100¢ $1 $5 +$4 (+245%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 33¢ 100¢ $2 $5 +$3 (+203%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Down 35¢ 100¢ $2 $5 +$3 (+186%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Up 24¢ 100¢ $1 $5 +$4 (+317%)
XRP Up or Down - April 6, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Up 35¢ 100¢ $2 $5 +$3 (+186%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - April 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$10 +670%
Solana Up or Down - April 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$8 +514%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$5 +456%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$7 +313%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$7 +406%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$8 +569%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$4 +212%
Solana Up or Down - April 9, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$7 +406%
Solana Up or Down - April 8, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$7 +388%
XRP Up or Down - April 6, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$7 +425%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$7 +569%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +223%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$4 +233%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +194%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 10, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$7 +490%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$7 +406%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +186%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$8 +633%
XRP Up or Down - April 6, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$6 +371%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$8 +600%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +186%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +203%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 6, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$7 +388%
Solana Up or Down - April 9, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$6 +340%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$6 +371%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$7 +600%
XRP Up or Down - April 6, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +194%
XRP Up or Down - April 6, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +203%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +186%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 6, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$7 +388%
Solana Up or Down - April 9, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +203%
Solana Up or Down - April 9, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +203%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 6, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$293
sports 0% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 45¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 78¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 40¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET SELL Up 32¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET SELL Down 36¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 17¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $2 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-31.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 777 -26.3% -33.3% 29% 27% -18.1%
≤30d 1182 -24.8% -31.9% 28% 27% -18.2%
≤90d 1182 -24.8% -31.9% 28% 27% -18.2%
all 1182 -24.8% -31.9% 28% 27% -18.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover172.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -31.9% 27% -18.2%
10% ← realistic here -38.5% 25% -26.0%
15% -44.4% 22% -33.2%
20% -49.9% 19% -39.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $203.79 · official $203.79 (match) · 3500 history records