Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:23:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F0
0xf05f…0cf5
crypto · 20 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
+$130 +12%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$128 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$19
Realized+$128
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses9 / 10
Open positions1
Markets (closed)19 / 20
History coverage1d
Avg bet$56
Trades / day64.0
Drawdown51%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 1 History 19 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$128
7 days+$128
14 days+$128
30 days+$128
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 14? Yes 48¢ 54¢ $17 $19 +$2 (+11%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C or higher on June 14? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C or higher on June 14? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $11 +$10 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $103 −$100 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $52 −$21 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $104 +$45 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $23 +$5 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 14 $131 +$17 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $25 −$25 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $53 −$19 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $42 +$77 +185%
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $21 −$2 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $16 −$15 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $53 −$50 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $128 +$78 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $206 +$33 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $58 −$58 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$120 +392%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$35 +113%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% +$131
other 2% −$2
weather 2% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 14? BUY Yes 48¢ $17 27m
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C or higher on June 14? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET SELL Down 48¢ $9 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $5 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET SELL Down 42¢ $12 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $5 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $103 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Up 23¢ $5 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $5 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Up 26¢ $4 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $5 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $26 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET SELL Up 44¢ $28 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $26 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $87 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $26 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $26 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Down 54¢ $29 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Up 46¢ $33 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Down 20¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 58¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Down 28¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Up 54¢ $54 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-2.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 19 +8.3% -2.0% 47% 47% +1.7%
≤30d 19 +8.3% -2.0% 47% 47% +1.7%
≤90d 19 +8.3% -2.0% 47% 47% +1.7%
all 19 +8.3% -2.0% 47% 47% +1.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover64.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -2.0% 47% +1.7%
10% ← realistic here -11.4% 32% -8.0%
15% -20.0% 32% -16.9%
20% -27.8% 26% -25.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $18.95 · official $18.95 (match) · 67 history records