trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 10 | +5.1% | -4.9% | 50% | 50% | +6.6% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -1.2% | -10.6% | 46% | 46% | +8.0% |
| all | 13 | -1.2% | -10.6% | 46% | 46% | +8.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.6% | 46% | +8.0% |
| 10% | -19.2% | 46% | -2.3% |
| 15% | -27.0% | 46% | -11.8% |
| 20% | -34.2% | 38% | -20.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | No | 10¢ | 8¢ | $175 | $133 | −$42 (-24%) |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | No | 15¢ | 12¢ | $91 | $74 | −$17 (-19%) |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Yes | 40¢ | 62¢ | $39 | $61 | +$22 (+56%) |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? | No | 60¢ | 41¢ | $40 | $27 | −$13 (-32%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | Jun 06 | $40 | +$22 | +54% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026? | Jun 05 | $51 | +$41 | +80% |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May | May 30 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of May 25 2026? | May 26 | $19 | −$14 | -73% |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31? | May 23 | $50 | +$18 | +37% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | May 23 | $100 | −$6 | -6% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 22 | $50 | −$26 | -51% |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May? | May 22 | $41 | +$21 | +52% |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in May? | May 22 | $50 | +$31 | +61% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 18? | May 17 | $9 | $0 | -3% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? | May 11 | $50 | +$30 | +60% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 11? | May 10 | $5 | −$2 | -41% |
| Madrid Open: Xinyu Wang vs Laura Samson | May 04 | $10 | −$9 | -86% |