Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:27:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F0
0xf07c…78f6
crypto · 820 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,437 -24%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,510 · open +$73
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,173
Realized−$1,510
Unrealized+$73
Win rate (resolved)93%
Wins / losses764 / 55
Est. fees paid−$35
Open positions1
Markets (closed)819 / 820
History coverage91d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day9.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit56%
Chart Positions 1 History 819 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$217
7 days−$255
14 days−$254
30 days−$444
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 Over 44¢ 46¢ $1,100 $1,173 +$73 (+7%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? Yes 75¢ 0¢ $1,067 $0 −$1,067 (-100%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 0¢ $505 $0 −$505 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $72 $0 −$72 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $63 $0 −$63 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 8, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 8, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 8, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Over 44¢ 0¢ $400 $0 −$400 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $511 −$505 -99%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $407 −$400 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: O/U 6.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $742 +$179 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +44%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $146 +$148 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $229 +$363 +158%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $151 +$66 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +36%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 11 $102 −$100 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +23%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$2 +146%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +3%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$2 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 45% −$35
other 41% −$1,180
crypto 12% −$162
politics 2% −$61
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 43¢ $1,017 1h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 51¢ $101 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $88 4h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 44¢ $407 4h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $423 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 30h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: O/U 6.5 Total Corners SELL Over 100¢ $921 30h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: O/U 6.5 Total Corners BUY Over 80¢ $742 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 39h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 49¢ $146 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 2d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $229 2d
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 100¢ $217 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +11%
net ROI/market (all)-9.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 714 -0.8% -10.3% 94% 11% -17.3%
≤30d 814 -0.2% -9.7% 94% 11% -21.7%
≤90d 819 -0.3% -9.8% 93% 11% -38.1%
all 819 -0.3% -9.8% 93% 11% -38.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.8% 11% -38.1%
10% -18.4% 7% -44.0%
15% -26.3% 4% -49.4%
20% -33.5% 2% -54.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,172.57 · official $1,172.57 (match) · 1717 history records