Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:44:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F0
0xf07c…6dea
crypto · 49 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$4 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized−$5
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses25 / 20
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions4
Markets (closed)45 / 49
History coverage14d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day5.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit84%
Chart Positions 4 History 45 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$1
14 days−$2
30 days−$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Yes 95¢ 100¢ $2 $3 +$0 (+5%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? Yes 55¢ 56¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 3.5 Under 73¢ 74¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 Under 72¢ 72¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Brazil to score first vs. Morocco? Yes 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $1 $0 +11%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $2 $0 +19%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $1 +$1 +55%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $1 $0 +7%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $2 $0 +22%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $1 $0 +11%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $1 $0 +12%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +60%
Brazil to score first vs. Morocco? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -99%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $1 +$1 +109%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $2 +$1 +30%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -78%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -61%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1 +$2 +158%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 01 $1 $0 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET May 30 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET May 30 $1 −$1 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET May 30 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET May 30 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET May 30 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET May 30 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET May 30 $2 −$1 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET May 30 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET May 30 $2 −$1 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET May 30 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET May 30 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET May 30 $3 −$1 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET May 30 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET May 30 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET May 30 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET May 30 $2 $0 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET May 30 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET May 30 $2 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET May 30 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET May 30 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET May 30 $1 $0 +14%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 59% −$3
sports 26% −$1
other 15% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 95¢ $3 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 94¢ $1 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 64¢ $1 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 93¢ $1 3h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 75¢ $1 3h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 90¢ $1 3h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 72¢ $1 3h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 SELL Under 90¢ $1 3h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 79¢ $1 3h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 90¢ $1 3h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 95¢ $1 4h
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 73¢ $1 4h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 72¢ $1 5h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? BUY Yes 55¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Up 41¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Down 85¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET SELL Up 64¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET SELL Down 64¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 15h
Brazil to score first vs. Morocco? BUY Yes 63¢ $1 16h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $1 16h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 93¢ $2 33h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 61¢ $1 34h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 12¢ $0 34h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 52¢ $1 34h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-14.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 22 -8.3% -17.0% 55% 45% -13.3%
≤30d 45 -5.6% -14.6% 56% 47% -17.0%
≤90d 45 -5.6% -14.6% 56% 47% -17.0%
all 45 -5.6% -14.6% 56% 47% -17.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.6% 47% -17.0%
10% -22.8% 31% -25.0%
15% -30.2% 20% -32.2%
20% -37.1% 18% -38.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.65 · official $5.65 (match) · 104 history records