Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:03:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F0
0xf07d…ddd3
crypto · 29 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$29 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$28 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized−$28
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses17 / 11
Open positions1
Markets (closed)28 / 29
History coverage1d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day108.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 1 History 28 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$28
7 days−$28
14 days−$28
30 days−$28
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Up 61¢ 58¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $12 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$6 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $17 −$17 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$16 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$4 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +26%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $16 −$6 -34%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 92% −$23
other 8% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET SELL Up 2¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $6 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $2 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET SELL Up 51¢ $5 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $2 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $2 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $2 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET SELL Down 42¢ $2 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $11 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET SELL Up 22¢ $0 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET SELL Up 11¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET SELL Up 16¢ $0 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 35m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-16.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 28 -7.8% -16.6% 61% 36% -24.1%
≤30d 28 -7.8% -16.6% 61% 36% -24.1%
≤90d 28 -7.8% -16.6% 61% 36% -24.1%
all 28 -7.8% -16.6% 61% 36% -24.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover108.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.6% 36% -24.1%
10% ← realistic here -24.6% 21% -31.3%
15% -31.9% 7% -38.0%
20% -38.5% 4% -44.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.59 · official $9.92 (match) · 139 history records