trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +61.3% | +46.0% | 50% | 25% | -5.9% |
| ≤30d | 8 | +7.7% | -2.6% | 25% | 12% | -30.5% |
| ≤90d | 8 | +7.7% | -2.6% | 25% | 12% | -30.5% |
| all | 12 | +7.8% | -2.5% | 25% | 17% | -13.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -2.5% | 17% | -13.2% |
| 10% | -11.8% | 17% | -21.5% |
| 15% | -20.3% | 17% | -29.1% |
| 20% | -28.1% | 17% | -36.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 10¢ | $192 | $182 | −$10 (-5%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 17 | $766 | −$60 | -8% |
| Tunisia to score first vs. Sweden? | Jun 15 | $108 | −$106 | -98% |
| Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Jun 15 | $426 | +$40 | +9% |
| Spread: United States (-1.5) | Jun 13 | $52 | +$180 | +344% |
| Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election? | Jun 03 | $1,529 | −$849 | -56% |
| Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | Jun 03 | $415 | −$52 | -13% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 27 | $477 | −$221 | -46% |
| Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election? | May 25 | $531 | −$132 | -25% |
| South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025? | Jul 19 | $733 | −$733 | -100% |
| Will Hong Joon-pyo be the People's Power Party candidate for president | Apr 27 | $689 | −$689 | -100% |
| Yoon out as president of South Korea before May? | Apr 03 | $2,029 | −$2,029 | -100% |
| Yoon out as president of South Korea before April? | Mar 28 | $1,163 | +$3,866 | +332% |