Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T12:54:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1.0
score
F0 0xf088…00b7 crypto 1024 markets active 0h ago coverage 190d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$2,094 (+0%) realized +$2,077 · open +$17
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR5%break-even
Win rate88%887W / 121L
Whale WR97%big bets
Drawdown22%max
Avg bet$880per market
Trades / day11.1pace
Kalshi-fit96%portable
Net worth$11,114now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$36
7 days+$73
14 days+$87
30 days+$237
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 98% +$2,073
other 1% −$61
tech 0% +$111
finance 0% +$10
world 0% −$14
weather 0% +$3
sports 0% −$99
culture 0% −$15
economics 0% −$2
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-11.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 26 +0.4% -9.2% 100% 0% -9.3%
≤30d 89 +2.2% -7.5% 93% 3% -9.3%
≤90d 546 -2.0% -11.3% 91% 1% -9.3%
all 1008 -2.1% -11.4% 88% 5% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover11.1 tr/day
realistic slip~11%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.4% 5% -9.3%
10% ← realistic here -19.9% 3% -18.0%
15% -27.7% 2% -25.9%
20% -34.8% 1% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
94% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt +0% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR 97% (≥$999) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -2% → late -2% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$10 · ×0.34 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×2.8 per $1 lost it wins $2.8
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

190d coverage
Net worth$11,114
Realized+$2,077
Unrealized+$17
Win rate (resolved)88%
Wins / losses887 / 121
Whale WR (big bets)97%
Open positions16
Markets (closed)1008 / 1024
History coverage190d
Avg bet$880
Trades / day11.1
Drawdown22%
Kalshi-fit96%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 16 History 1008 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in June? No 100¢ 100¢ $3,980 $3,982 +$2 (+0%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 17? No 100¢ 100¢ $999 $1,000 +$0 (+0%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 17? No 100¢ 100¢ $999 $1,000 +$0 (+0%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 17? No 100¢ 100¢ $998 $998 +$0 (+0%)
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in June? No 100¢ 100¢ $997 $996 −$0 (-0%)
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? Yes 92¢ 94¢ $916 $941 +$25 (+3%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 17? No 100¢ 100¢ $500 $500 +$0 (+0%)
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? No 96¢ 96¢ $480 $482 +$2 (+0%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 17? No 100¢ 100¢ $456 $457 +$0 (+0%)
Reya FDV above $1B one day after launch? No 99¢ 99¢ $298 $297 −$0 (-0%)
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? No 94¢ 93¢ $146 $144 −$2 (-1%)
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? Yes 94¢ 86¢ $94 $86 −$8 (-8%)
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? No 87¢ 83¢ $87 $83 −$4 (-4%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in June? No 95¢ 99¢ $74 $77 +$3 (+4%)
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? Yes 71¢ 70¢ $71 $70 −$1 (-1%)
Nothing Ever Happens: June Something 15¢ 6¢ $3 $1 −$2 (-63%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 6 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $70,000 on June 16? Jun 16 $998 +$2 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on June 16? Jun 16 $992 +$8 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 16? Jun 16 $485 +$15 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 16? Jun 16 $998 +$2 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 16? Jun 16 $203 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 16? Jun 16 $598 +$2 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 16? Jun 16 $993 +$7 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 June 8-14? Jun 15 $213 +$1 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 June 8-14? Jun 15 $998 +$2 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 13? Jun 13 $998 +$2 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $996 +$4 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $24 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $999 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $998 +$2 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 June 8-14? Jun 13 $397 +$2 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $651 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 12? Jun 12 $1,996 +$4 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 12? Jun 12 $997 +$3 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $999 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $998 +$2 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 11? Jun 11 $996 +$4 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $1,998 +$2 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $804 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 10? Jun 10 $1,998 +$2 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $1,996 +$4 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $614 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $1,998 +$2 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $1,998 +$2 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 8? Jun 08 $1,996 +$4 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $1,996 +$2 +0%
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? Jun 08 $994 +$2 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 4? Jun 04 $999 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 4? Jun 04 $360 +$1 +0%
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? Jun 04 $1,989 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 2? Jun 02 $1,998 +$2 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on June 1? Jun 01 $1,998 +$2 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 1? Jun 01 $1,996 +$4 +0%
Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in May? Jun 01 $377 +$2 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May? Jun 01 $1,996 +$4 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May? Jun 01 $2,994 +$6 +0%
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX? Jun 01 $40 $0 +0%
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS? Jun 01 $40 $0 +0%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 3 May 31 $96 +$4 +4%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? May 31 $920 +$80 +9%
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May May 30 $48 +$2 +4%
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 3 May 30 $40 $0 +0%
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31 May 30 $20 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on May 28? May 28 $9 $0 -1%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 28? May 28 $3 −$3 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 26? May 27 $17 +$3 +21%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 17? BUY No 100¢ $136 20m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 17? BUY No 100¢ $5 22m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 17? BUY No 100¢ $30 22m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 17? BUY No 100¢ $3 25m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 17? BUY No 100¢ $1 27m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 17? BUY No 100¢ $5 31m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 17? BUY No 100¢ $2 33m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 17? BUY No 100¢ $1 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 17? BUY No 100¢ $5 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 17? BUY No 100¢ $809 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 17? BUY No 100¢ $500 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 17? BUY No 100¢ $5 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 17? BUY No 100¢ $5 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 17? BUY No 100¢ $5 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 17? BUY No 100¢ $5 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 17? BUY No 100¢ $5 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 17? BUY No 100¢ $5 3h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 17? BUY No 100¢ $5 3h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 17? BUY No 100¢ $5 3h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 17? BUY No 100¢ $5 4h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 17? BUY No 100¢ $994 4h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 17? BUY No 100¢ $10 4h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 17? BUY No 100¢ $20 4h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 17? BUY No 100¢ $4 4h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 17? BUY No 100¢ $5 5h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 17? BUY No 100¢ $5 5h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 17? BUY No 100¢ $5 5h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 17? BUY No 100¢ $367 6h
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? BUY No 96¢ $481 6h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 17? BUY No 100¢ $999 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $11,114.16 · official $11,114.66 (match) · 3068 history records