Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:28:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F0
0xf092…3862
crypto · 14 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$15 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$15
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses8 / 6
Open positions0
Markets (closed)14 / 14
History coverage1d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day15.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 14 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$15
7 days−$15
14 days−$15
30 days−$15
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +48%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-28.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 -20.4% -28.0% 57% 36% -28.3%
≤30d 14 -20.4% -28.0% 57% 36% -28.3%
≤90d 14 -20.4% -28.0% 57% 36% -28.3%
all 14 -20.4% -28.0% 57% 36% -28.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -28.0% 36% -28.3%
10% -34.9% 36% -35.1%
15% -41.1% 29% -41.4%
20% -46.9% 21% -47.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 30 history records